US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Michigan Governor.
It's debate season in Michigan, and tonight is the second meeting between gubernatorial candidates Jocelyn Benson and John James.
JamesDemocratic Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and Republican U.S. Rep. John James – the candidates competing to be Michigan's next governor – will take to the debate stage for a final time at 8 p.m.
JamesRepublican gubernatorial nominee John James skipped Vice President JD Vance’s Michigan rally on Thursday, missing a high-profile event to energize GOP voters in one of the country’s most consequential midterm…
James10-15-2026 at 01:38:24 PM EDT| Updated 10-15-2026 at 01:43:19 PM EDT
As Michiganders prepare to cast their vote for Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's replacement, the choice before our state extends far beyond two candidates or two
BensonDETROIT, MI – Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and Republican U.S. Rep. John James, R-Shelby Township, will face off tonight during a second debate in Detroit.
LANSING, MI (WKZO AM/FM) – Former President Barack Obama is urging Michiganders to elect Democrat Jocelyn Benson as governor in November.
BensonIn the race to lead Michigan, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic nominee for governor, and U.S. Rep. John James, the Republican pick, offer competing visions for the state's future.
Jocelyn Benson, Michigan secretary of state since 2019, is the Democratic nominee for Michigan governor facing Republican U.S. Rep. John James.
BensonMichigan voters will get their last chance Oct. 15 to see Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and Republican U.S. Rep.
JamesU.S. Rep. John James, the Republican pick to be Michigan's next governor, has highlighted his military and business experience on the campaign trail.
JamesRepublican nominee John James and Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson will face off in the 2026 Michigan governor’s race.
The Michigan governor’s race sees Democrat Jocelyn Benson ahead of Republican John James as Election Day nears.
Jocelyn Benson, currently Michigan secretary of state and a gubernatorial candidate, is proposing a major overhaul of Michigan government.
BensonJocelyn Benson is the Democratic candidate for Michigan Governor in the 2026 midterm cycle. The race features Benson, the sitting Secretary of State, challenging Republican John James.
BensonNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party wins · Polymarket and Kalshi | ||||||
| DJocelyn Benson | 93.8% | 95.0% | 93.5% | 1.4 pts | – | |
| RJohn James | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 1.6 pts | – | |
| IIndependent | 0.1% implied |
– | – | – | – | |
| Which candidate wins · Kalshi | ||||||
| Mike Duggan | 0.1% Kalshi only |
– | 0.1% | – | – | |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Jocelyn Benson, a Democrat who has served as Michigan secretary of state since 2019, is her party's 2026 nominee for governor against Republican John James.
John James, a Republican who has represented Michigan's 10th congressional district since 2023, faces Democrat Jocelyn Benson in the 2026 race for governor of Michigan.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Michigan Governor margin of victory
| Republicans, 1+ pts | 4.6% | |
| Republicans, 4+ pts | 2.5% |
Michigan Governor margin of victory
| Democrats, 2+ pts | 87.7% | |
| Democrats, 5+ pts | 77.0% | |
| Democrats, 8+ pts | 62.0% | |
| Democrats, 11+ pts | 44.0% | |
| Democrats, 14+ pts | 26.5% | |
| Democrats, 17+ pts | 15.0% | |
| Democrats, 20+ pts | 8.0% |
Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory
| Benson 18%+ | 4.6% | |
| Benson 15-18% | 8.4% | |
| Benson 12-15% | 15.0% | |
| Benson 9-12% | 22.5% | |
| Benson 6-9% | 18.5% | |
| Benson 3-6% | 10.0% | |
| Benson 0-3% | 3.7% | |
| James 0-3% | 4.2% | |
| James 3-6% | 4.2% | |
| James 6%+ | 2.7% |
Prices which party wins.
Jocelyn Benson: Counted · bid 94.8% / ask 95.1% · $14.7K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Jocelyn Benson: Counted · bid 93.2% / ask 93.8% · $59.3K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Jocelyn Benson
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Michigan pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
