Michigan 2026 elections
Michigan, the Great Lakes state of two peninsulas, elects a US senator and a governor in 2026, along with 13 House members and the mayor of Flint.
Unknown author, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons- Capital
- Lansing
- Largest city
- Detroit
- Population
- 10.13M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 26th state (January 26, 1837)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MI-04 House | RBill Huizenga | Toss-up | 51.1% | 50.5% | 52.5% | 2.0 pts | +0.1 | −0.7 | 42.2K | ||
| MI-07 House | DWilliam Lawrence | Lean D | 62.5% | 62.5% | 62.5% | 1.5 pts | +0.3 | +1.5 | 125.2K | ||
| MI-10 House | DChristina Hines | Lean D | 64.8% | 64.5% | 65.5% | 1.0 pts | +0.3 | −0.2 | 33.0K | ||
| MI-01 House | RJack Bergman | Likely R | 88.8% | 88.5% | 89.0% | 0.6 pts | −0.5 | −1.7 | 48.5K | ||
| MI-08 House | DKristen McDonald Rivet | Safe D | 93.9% | 94.5% | 93.8% | 0.7 pts | −0.4 | −0.1 | 36.8K | ||
| MI-05 House | RTim Walberg | Safe R | 95.0% | 95.0% | 95.1% | 0.8 pts | +0.4 | +3.6 | 50.1K | ||
| MI-03 House | DHillary Scholten | Safe D | 95.2% | 95.3% | 94.2% | 1.1 pts | +1.1 | +0.3 | 67.0K | ||
| MI-11 House | DJeremy Moss | Safe D | 95.3% | 95.2% | 96.5% | 1.3 pts | 0.0 | −0.9 | 84.4K | ||
| MI-09 House | RLisa McClain | Safe R | 95.7% | 95.9% | 95.6% | 1.5 pts | −0.4 | −1.1 | 44.5K | ||
| MI-02 House | RJohn Moolenaar | Safe R | 97.5% | 98.0% | 97.4% | 1.3 pts | 0.0 | +0.3 | 64.1K | ||
| MI-13 House | DDonavan McKinney | Safe D | 97.5% | 98.0% | 97.2% | 0.9 pts | −1.0 | −0.7 | 52.5K | ||
| MI-06 House | DDebbie Dingell | Safe D | 97.6% | 97.3% | 98.0% | 0.7 pts | 0.0 | +0.6 | 54.7K | ||
| MI-12 House | DRashida Tlaib | Safe D | 98.6% | 98.0% | 99.0% | 1.1 pts | +0.1 | +0.2 | 42.5K |
House seats Democrats win in Michigan
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Kalshi65.2K contracts
How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?
| Below 5 | 1.0% implied | |
| 5 | 2.0% implied | |
| 6 | 13.0% | |
| 7 | 19.0% | |
| 8 | 25.5% | |
| 9 | 34.0% | |
| Above 9 | 5.0% |
Polymarket$33.5K traded
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
| <5 | 0.5% implied | |
| 5 | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 12.5% | |
| 7 | 21.0% | |
| 8 | 25.0% | |
| 9 | 35.5% | |
| 10+ | 2.9% |
Political landscape in Michigan
Overview
Michigan is an Upper Midwest state on the Great Lakes with land or water borders touching Minnesota, Wisconsin, Indiana, Illinois, Ohio and Ontario in Canada. It is the tenth most populous state, 11th in area, and the biggest state, measured by total area, lying east of the Mississippi River. Lansing is the capital and Detroit the largest city; Grand Rapids, Flint, Ann Arbor and Kalamazoo are other major metro areas. The state consists of the forested Upper Peninsula and the more populous Lower Peninsula, joined by the Mackinac Bridge, and it touches four Great Lakes, giving it the longest freshwater shoreline of any US subdivision. French explorers took possession of the region for New France before British and then American control; Michigan Territory was organized in 1805, and statehood came on January 26, 1837, with Michigan as the 26th state. In the early 20th century Michigan gained wide recognition as the hub of American automaking, and the three major US automobile companies are headquartered in Metro Detroit.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, Governor Gretchen Whitmer and US Senators Gary Peters and Elissa Slotkin are all Democrats.
2026 elections
On November 3, 2026, Michigan will hold a US Senate race and the governor's race, elections in all 13 House districts, and a mayoral race in Flint.
Mayoral races
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint Mayor | Sheldon Neeley | Likely | 85.0% Kalshi only |
– | 85.0% | – | −0.5 | +2.5 | 585 |