Updated Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Mayor · 3 November 2026

Louisville Mayor 2026

91.9% Craig Greenberg leads TruthIndex™Other leader
Polymarket
91.5%
Kalshi
92.5%
Spread
2.0 pts
24h
+0.1
7 days
−0.3
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Louisville Mayor.

  1. A Parrish-Wright vote signals a turning point for Louisville

    Louisville's choice for mayor is between businessman Craig Greenberg and activist Shameka Parrish-Wright.

    Louisville Courier-JournalParrish-Wright
  2. Greenberg hasn't won mayor race yet; Louisville has a choice

    The piece argues that Louisville voters face a pivotal choice in the mayoral race.

    Louisville Courier-JournalParrish-Wright
  3. Rob Wells

    Craig Greenberg is Louisville’s mayor. The page highlights ongoing efforts by his administration, through the Office of Violence Prevention, to build lasting relationships between youths and their communities as part of…

    wdrbwave.comGreenberg
  4. Monster Truck to Crush Seized Street-Takeover Charger in Louisville

    Craig Greenberg, Louisville’s mayor, has overseen the use of a monster truck to crush seized vehicles as part of the city’s street-takeover crackdown.

    backfirenews.comGreenberg
  5. Louisville Police Are Crushing A Stolen-Parts Hellcat Charger Under A Monster Truck

    Mayor Craig Greenberg of Louisville has publicly overseen and participated in the destruction of stolen vehicles as part of the city’s street racing crackdown.

    hotcars.comGreenberg

Craig Greenberg, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
Craig Greenberg 91.9% 91.5% 92.5% 1.0 pts +0.1
Shameka Parrish-Wright 7.2% 7.5% 5.5% 2.0 pts −0.1

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<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/mayor/louisville/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=mayor-louisville">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

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Candidates & Background

Craig Greenberg

Craig Greenberg

Mayor of Louisville, Kentucky (since 2023)

Craig Greenberg, a lawyer and hotel executive who has been mayor of Louisville, Kentucky, since 2023, is seeking reelection in the city's first nonpartisan mayoral election.

Born 1973 · Commack, New York
Shameka Parrish-Wright

Shameka Parrish-Wright

Member of the Louisville Metro Council, 3rd district (since 2024)

Shameka Parrish-Wright, a Democrat on the Louisville Metro Council since 2024, faces incumbent Craig Greenberg in Louisville's first nonpartisan mayoral election on November 3, 2026.

Each venue's market

Polymarket$7.9K traded

Prices which candidate wins.

Craig Greenberg: Counted · bid 91.0% / ask 92.0% · $1.5K within 5 pts

The 2026 Louisville mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Louisville, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi15.0K contracts traded

Prices which candidate wins.

Craig Greenberg: Counted · bid 91.0% / ask 94.0% · $1.2K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Craig Greenberg

If Craig Greenberg wins the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi