US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Kentucky Senate.
Charles Booker is the Democratic candidate for Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race, running against Republican incumbent or challenger (as applicable to the 2024/related race). The article notes that U.S. Rep.
BookerThe Louisville Cardinal conducts an exclusive interview with US Senate candidate Charles Booker, focusing on his campaign in Kentucky.
BookerThe article discusses debates in Kentucky political races, noting Charles Booker (Democratic U.S. Senate candidate) has challenged Andy Barr (Republican U.S. Representative) over debate frequency.
BookerThe Republicans are hopeful of keeping their majority while the Democrats look to flip enough seats to put them on top.
Booker debated in Lexington on Oct. 19 (alongside Andy Barr) in a live debate on WKYT/Channel 27.
BookerCharles Booker is campaigning for the U.S. Senate in Kentucky against Republican Andy Barr. A former state representative, Booker is seeking to unseat retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.
The article covers Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Barr’s campaign across Kentucky for the U.S. Senate seat long-held by Mitch McConnell, highlighting the 2026 election where Barr will face Democratic nominee Charles Booker.
The article covers Charles Booker commenting on President Trump’s visit to Northern Kentucky for a midterm rally.
The article discusses President Donald Trump’s rally in NKU on a weekend ahead of Kentucky’s midterm races, with political implications for Kentucky voters in Boone County. It notes Rep.
BookerKentucky voters on Nov. 3 will choose a new U.S. senator to replace Mitch McConnell after four decades in office. Republican Andy Barr is challenging Democrat Charles Booker.
Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan V. Gould discussed the OCC’s newly released report on large banks’ debanking activities.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAndy Barr | 96.7% | 96.8% | 96.5% | 0.3 pts | – | |
| DCharles Booker | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 0.4 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Andy Barr, a Republican U.S. representative for Kentucky's 6th district since 2013, is his party's 2026 nominee for the open U.S. Senate seat in Kentucky.
Former Kentucky state representative and Democratic nominee for the open 2026 U.S. Senate seat in Kentucky, facing Republican Andy Barr to succeed Mitch McConnell.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Kentucky Senate margin of victory
| Barr, 10+ pts | 86.5% | |
| Barr, 12+ pts | 78.5% | |
| Barr, 14+ pts | 68.5% | |
| Barr, 16+ pts | 59.0% | |
| Barr, 18+ pts | – | |
| Barr, 20+ pts | 37.0% | |
| Barr, 22+ pts | 27.0% | |
| Barr, 24+ pts | 20.0% | |
| Barr, 26+ pts | 18.0% | |
| Barr, 28+ pts | 9.4% | |
| Barr, 30+ pts | 6.0% | |
| Barr, 32+ pts | 4.4% |
Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 1.5% | |
| Republican 0-10% | 13.9% | |
| Republican 10-15% | – | |
| Republican 15-20% | 22.5% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 22.5% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 11.0% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 3.9% | |
| Republican 35-40% | 3.0% | |
| Republican 40-45% | 4.7% | |
| Republican 45%+ | 1.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Andy Barr: Counted · bid 96.8% / ask 96.9% · $27.2K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Andy Barr: Counted · bid 96.3% / ask 96.8% · $25.5K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Andy Barr
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kentucky for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
