Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

Georgia Governor 2026

51.9% RRick Jackson leads TruthIndex™Toss-up
Polymarket
49.5%
Kalshi
52.5%
Spread
3.0 pts
24h
–
7 days
−1.9
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Georgia Governor.

  1. Georgia midterms bring debates, record early voting and visits from Trump and Vance

    Candidates in some of the state's biggest races took the Atlanta Press Club's debate stage this week. Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff debated his Republican challenger, U.S. Rep. Mike Collins, on Tuesday.

    CBS NewsBottomsJackson
  2. Georgia Election Coverage

    Rick Jackson is a Republican candidate in the Georgia gubernatorial race, challenging incumbent or Democratic contender Keisha Lance Bottoms. The race is part of Georgia’s statewide contests that also include the U.S.

    WXIAJackson
  3. On the Ballot: Do debates really matter?

    The article notes a Georgia gubernatorial debate involving Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson.

    The HillJacksonLamont
  4. Political experts call the Georgia governor race 'stuck in molasses'

    Poll shows Republican Rick Jackson leading Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms 49% to 47% among 800 likely Georgia voters, with about 4% undecided and a 3.46% margin of error.

    WAGAJacksonBottoms
  5. Jackson maintains slim lead despite skipping debate - WSB-TV Channel 2

    Rick Jackson leads Keisha Lance Bottoms by a slim margin in Georgia’s governor race, with early voting underway. A post-debate InsiderAdvantage poll shows Jackson at 49% and Bottoms at 47%, with 4% undecided.

    WSBJackson
More coverage 5
  1. Governor Candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms (D-GA) Speaks to Reporters After Casting Ballot in Early Voting | Video

    Keisha Lance Bottoms, a Democratic candidate for Georgia governor, spoke to reporters after casting her ballot in early voting. The clip highlights her remarks and engagement with the press during the campaign.

    C-SpanBottoms
  2. InsiderAdvantage Georgia governor poll: Jackson maintains slight edge

    800 likely voters, weighted for age, race, gender and political affiliation. MOE 3.46% Conducted 10/12-13. Top line tabs to be posted shortly.

    jamesmagazinega.comJackson
  3. Georgia election 2026: Georgia governor, statewide race candidates - WSB-TV Channel 2

    The Georgia governor race for 2026 lists Keisha Lance Bottoms as the Democratic nominee, Rick Jackson as the Republican nominee, and Chase Oliver as the Libertarian candidate.

    WSBBottoms
  4. New poll shows Georgia governor candidates in tight race despite Jackson skipping GPB debate

    Keisha Lance Bottoms is a leading Georgia gubernatorial candidate facing Rick Jackson in a tight race.

    atlantanewsfirst.comBottoms
  5. Interview with Keisha Lance Bottoms

    Source: Spectrum News interview with Keisha Lance Bottoms, Oct. 14, 2026.

    Spectrum Local NewsBottoms

Rick Jackson, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
RRick Jackson 51.9% 49.5% 52.5% 3.0 pts –
DKeisha Lance Bottoms 48.1% 50.5% 47.5% 3.0 pts –

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Candidates & Background

Attorney and Democrat who was mayor of Atlanta from 2018 to 2022 and a Biden White House adviser, the Democratic Party's 2026 nominee for governor of Georgia.

Born 1970 · Atlanta, Georgia
Rick Jackson

Rick Jackson

Republican Founder and CEO of Jackson Healthcare (founded 2000)

Rick Jackson, founder and CEO of Atlanta-area firm Jackson Healthcare, is the Republican nominee for governor of Georgia in 2026, facing Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms.

Born 1954

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi21.6K contracts

Georgia Governor margin of victory

Jackson, 2+ pts
40.5%
Jackson, 5+ pts
23.5%
Jackson, 8+ pts
12.5%
Jackson, 11+ pts
4.5%
Source: Kalshi market

Kalshi22.8K contracts

Georgia Governor margin of victory

Bottoms, 1+ pts
40.0%
Bottoms, 4+ pts
21.5%
Bottoms, 7+ pts
10.3%
Bottoms, 10+ pts
4.5%
Bottoms, 13+ pts
2.6%
Source: Kalshi market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$202.9K traded

Prices which party wins.

Rick Jackson: Counted · bid 49.0% / ask 50.0% · $71.5K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi1.7M contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Rick Jackson: Counted · bid 52.0% / ask 53.0% · $279.7K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Rick Jackson

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Georgia pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi