House · 3 November 2026

GA-07 House 2026

93.1% RRich McCormick leads TruthIndex™Safe R

Polymarket: 93.0%
Kalshi: 93.3%
Spread: 0.3 pts
24h: –
7 days: +0.2
Updated: Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Rich McCormick, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

All outcomes

Outcome	TruthIndex™		Polymarket	Kalshi	Spread	24h
RRich McCormick	93.1%		93.0%	93.3%	0.3 pts	–
DTony Kozycki	7.0%		7.0%	7.0%	0.0 pts	–

Polymarket Kalshi

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Candidates & Background

Rich McCormick

Republican U.S. Representative for Georgia's 7th congressional district (since 2025)

Rich McCormick, a Republican emergency physician who has served in the U.S. House since 2023 and represents Georgia's 7th congressional district, faces Democrat Anthony Kozycki, an attorney, in his 2026 reelection race.

Born 1968 · Las Vegas

Full candidate profile →

Tony Kozycki

Democratic

Tony Kozycki is a Democratic candidate for the US House in Georgia's 7th congressional district (GA-07) in 2026.

Full candidate profile →

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi2.5K contracts

Georgia's 7th District margin of victory

McCormick, 3+ pts		88.3%
McCormick, 6+ pts		77.0%
McCormick, 9+ pts		65.0%
McCormick, 12+ pts		50.5%
McCormick, 15+ pts		34.5%
McCormick, 18+ pts		23.0%
McCormick, 21+ pts		10.9%
McCormick, 24+ pts		5.1%
McCormick, 27+ pts		3.3%
McCormick, 30+ pts		5.0% implied

Source: Kalshi market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$43.6K traded

Prices which party wins.

Rich McCormick: Counted · bid 92.0% / ask 94.0% · $1.9K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi14.8K contracts traded