US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for GA-14 House.
The article notes that even in strongly Republican Georgia, President Trump’s campaign stops to boost GOP nominees face risks, including in GA-14 where Rep.
FullerClay Fuller is the Republican representative for Georgia’s 14th District (GA-14). He won his seat by a solid margin in the April special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene, defeating opponents by about 12…
The article reports on Georgia Representative Clay Fuller (GA-14) raising questions about federal funding for a Tennessee toll project, specifically the I-24 toll lane initiative in Tennessee.
FullerClay Fuller is the Republican candidate in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District, running against Democrat Shawn Harris. He recently joined Donald Trump at a campaign rally.
FullerNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RClay Fuller | 96.1% | 95.7% | 96.4% | 0.7 pts | – | |
| DShawn Harris | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.3 pts | – |
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Clay Fuller, a Republican who has represented Georgia's 14th congressional district since winning an April 2026 special election, is seeking a full term in 2026 against Democrat Shawn Harris.
Shawn Harris, a Democrat, cattleman and retired brigadier general, is his party's nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district in 2026 against Republican incumbent Clay Fuller.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Georgia's 14th District margin of victory
| Fuller, 12+ pts | 92.0% | |
| Fuller, 15+ pts | 82.5% | |
| Fuller, 18+ pts | 71.5% | |
| Fuller, 21+ pts | 55.5% | |
| Fuller, 24+ pts | 40.5% | |
| Fuller, 27+ pts | 27.5% | |
| Fuller, 30+ pts | 18.5% | |
| Fuller, 33+ pts | 11.8% | |
| Fuller, 36+ pts | 5.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Clay Fuller: Counted · bid 94.5% / ask 96.9% · $1.6K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Clay Fuller: Counted · bid 95.1% / ask 97.7% · $2.2K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Clay Fuller
If the House member sworn in for GA-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
