nijinnUS Midterms 2026
Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
House · 3 November 2026

GA-01 House 2026

89.9% RJim Kingston leads TruthIndex™Likely R
Polymarket
89.5%
Kalshi
91.3%
Spread
1.8 pts
24h
–
7 days
−0.5
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for GA-01 House.

Top story

U.S. House, 1st Congressional District

Jim Kingston is the son of former Congressman Jack Kingston, who represented the 1st District from 1993 to 2015. Like his father, Jim Kingston spent his career in the insurance industry.

Georgia RecorderKingston
  1. ‘Care Force One’ stops in Savannah

    Amanda Hollowell, the Democratic candidate for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District (GA-01), joined Georgia State Rep.

    aol.comHollowell

Jim Kingston, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
RJim Kingston 89.9% 89.5% 91.3% 1.8 pts –
DAmanda Hollowell 9.3% 9.5% 8.9% 0.6 pts –
PolymarketKalshi

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<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/house/ga-01/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=house-ga-01">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

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Candidates & Background

Amanda Hollowell

Democratic

Amanda Hollowell, a Democratic political organizer, is her party's nominee for Georgia's open 1st congressional district seat in 2026 against Republican Jim Kingston, son of former U.S. representative Jack Kingston.

Jim Kingston

Republican

Jim Kingston, a Republican insurance salesman and son of former U.S. representative Jack Kingston, is his party's nominee for Georgia's open 1st congressional district seat in 2026 against Democrat Amanda Hollowell.

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi2.8K contracts

Georgia's 1st District margin of victory

Kingston, 3+ pts
83.5%
Kingston, 6+ pts
72.0%
Kingston, 9+ pts
58.5%
Kingston, 12+ pts
44.5%
Kingston, 15+ pts
30.5%
Kingston, 18+ pts
15.5%
Kingston, 21+ pts
10.5%
Kingston, 24+ pts
5.2%
Source: Kalshi market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$21.9K traded

Prices which party wins.

Jim Kingston: Counted · bid 89.0% / ask 90.0% · $7.8K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi10.6K contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Jim Kingston: Counted · bid 90.3% / ask 92.3% · $2.3K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Jim Kingston

If the House member sworn in for GA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi

Also in Georgia

  1. Georgia SenateD95%
  2. Georgia GovernorR52%
  3. GA-02 HouseD95%
  4. GA-03 HouseR96%
  5. GA-04 HouseD98%
  6. GA-05 HouseD99%
  7. GA-06 HouseD98%
  8. GA-07 HouseR93%