Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Senate · 3 November 2026

Georgia Senate 2026

95.4% DJon Ossoff leads TruthIndex™Safe D
Polymarket
96.2%
Kalshi
95.3%
Spread
0.8 pts
24h
–
7 days
−0.6
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Georgia Senate.

  1. Jon Ossoff hauls in $33M as Georgia Senate race enters final weeks

    U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff raised $33 million over the last three months, giving the Georgia Democrat a massive financial advantage as he heads into the final stretch of his reelection campaign with $26 million in the bank.

    Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionCollinsOssoff
  2. Jon Ossoff seeks reelection in Georgia Senate race

    Above file video: Ossoff, Collins trade sharp attacks in second Georgia U.S. Senate debate

    WJCLOssoffCollins
  3. Georgia Senate race: Mike Collins leans on Laken Riley Act

    Laken Riley Act becomes Mike Collins’ key pitch in Georgia Senate race

    WJCLCollins
  4. Sen. Jon Ossoff: Georgia Republicans 'do not want the president to come'

    Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.), who is running for reelection, said Wednesday that Republicans in Georgia “do not want” President Trump to campaign for them in the Peach State.

    The HillOssoff
  5. Jon Ossoff, Mike Collins spar over extremism, Black homeownership in Senate debate

    ATLANTA: Republican U.S. Rep. Mike Collins told Georgia voters Tuesday night that he is not a white nationalist. But in the same debate, he would not commit to stopping what Democratic U.S. Sen.

    Black Wall Street TimesCollins
More coverage 10
  1. Trump-Backed Senate Hopeful Mike Collins Hit With Fresh Staff Scandal

    US Senator Jon Ossoff (D-GA), Georgia's Democratic candidate for US Senate, and US Representative Mike Collins (R-GA), Georgia's Republican candidate for US Senate, attend the Loudermilk-Young Senate Debate Series at…

    Daily BeastCollins
  2. Ossoff Raises Over $33 Million in Q3 of 2026, Continues to Build Unstoppable Momentum Heading Into Election Day - Jon Ossoff for U.S. Senate

    In recent weeks, multiple reports have also underscored that Senator Ossoff has continued to fundraise into and invest in the Democratic Party of Georgia to boost Democrats up and down the ballot, including transferring…

    electjon.comOssoff
  3. Ossoff and Collins clash over Laken Riley Act during Senate debate

    Laken Riley Act: Collins accused Ossoff of inaction on immigration after nursing student Laken Riley’s death; Ossoff defended his vote for the bill and criticized Trump-era enforcement tactics.

    WAGACollinsOssoff
  4. Ossoff and Collins Trade Blows in Georgia Senate Debate

    Senator Jon Ossoff, the Democratic incumbent, and Representative Mike Collins, the Republican challenger, debated inflation, tariffs and the Epstein files during the second and final Georgia senate debate.

    New York TimesCollins
  5. Collins and Ossoff clash in heated Georgia Senate debate, but did voters learn anything?

    Home » Columns » Delaney Tarr » Collins and Ossoff clash in heated Georgia Senate debate, but did voters learn anything?

    saportareport.comCollins
  6. Georgia Senate debate turns ugly as candidates clash over neo-Nazis, Epstein

    DEM ‘EPSTEIN CLASS’ ATTACK BACKFIRES AS TOP CANDIDATES FUNDED BY EPSTEIN-TIED BILLIONAIRE

    Fox NewsCollins
  7. Sen. Jon Ossoff again said he won’t run for president

    Sen. Jon Ossoff reiterates that he does not plan to run for president, focusing instead on his role in the Senate and Georgia political priorities.

    Washington PostOssoff
  8. Collins, Ossoff clash in a second heated US Senate debate

    Collins, Ossoff clash in a second heated debate as early voting begins in Georgia

    WABECollins
  9. Who won Jon Ossoff, Mike Collins debate? Key points, issues from Tuesday

    The Savannah Morning News covers the Georgia Senate debate between Jon Ossoff and Mike Collins, noting it drew the most attention among several debates hosted by the Atlanta Press Club and Georgia Public Broadcasting.

    Savannah Morning NewsOssoff
  10. Amid debate fireworks, Georgia U.S. Senate candidates reveal key positions

    Ossoff pledged to serve a full six-year Senate term if reelected and said he has zero interest in running for president in 2028.

    Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionOssoff

Jon Ossoff, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
DJon Ossoff 95.4% 96.2% 95.3% 0.8 pts –
RMike Collins 4.6% 3.9% 4.7% 0.8 pts –

Share this race

Embed the live card

The card updates on your page every 5 minutes and links back to this race. Paste the code into an HTML or embed block; it fits any width up to 680 pixels.

<iframe src="https://midterms.nijinn.io/senate/georgia/embed.html" title="Georgia Senate: live odds from Nijinn" style="width:100%;max-width:680px;height:400px;border:0" loading="lazy" scrolling="no"></iframe>
<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/senate/georgia/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=senate-georgia">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

Where frames are not allowed, the image card, linked to this race, updates with each refresh:

<a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/senate/georgia/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-image&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=senate-georgia"><img src="https://midterms.nijinn.io/senate/georgia/card-landscape.png" alt="Georgia Senate: odds from Nijinn" width="600" height="315" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border:0"></a>

Candidates & Background

Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

Democratic United States Senator from Georgia (since 2021)

Jon Ossoff, a Democrat, has represented Georgia in the US Senate since 2021 and faces Republican Representative Mike Collins in his 2026 bid for a second term.

Born 1987 · Atlanta, Georgia
Mike Collins

Mike Collins

Republican U.S. Representative for Georgia's 10th congressional district (since 2023)

Republican who has represented Georgia's 10th congressional district in the U.S. House since 2023 and is challenging Democratic senator Jon Ossoff in 2026.

Born 1967 · Jackson, Georgia

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi886 contracts

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Yes
3.5%
Source: Kalshi market

Kalshi110.9K contracts

Georgia Senate margin of victory

Ossoff, 2+ pts
93.8%
Ossoff, 4+ pts
87.5%
Ossoff, 6+ pts
82.5%
Ossoff, 8+ pts
63.5%
Ossoff, 10+ pts
48.5%
Ossoff, 12+ pts
28.5%
Ossoff, 14+ pts
18.5%
Ossoff, 16+ pts
9.5%
Ossoff, 18+ pts
5.5%
Source: Kalshi market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$236.3K traded

Prices which party wins.

Jon Ossoff: Counted · bid 95.8% / ask 96.6% · $19.4K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi1.8M contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Jon Ossoff: Counted · bid 95.3% / ask 95.4% · $345.1K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Jon Ossoff

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Georgia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi