US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for GA-03 House.
The article reports that lawmakers are expected to introduce a federal film and TV incentive bill this week. It notes broad bipartisan support, with involvement from Rep. Brian Jack (R-GA), along with Rep.
JackRep. Scott Eugene DesJarlais (R-TN-04) – C [...] Rep. Janelle Bynum (D-OR-05) – C
McBath
Beatty
Harder
Morelle
Joyce
Neguse
Hayes
Solis
Conaway
Reschenthaler
Bilirakis
Thompson
Cisneros
Whitesides
Latimer
Palmer
Amo
Lucas
Burlison
Valadao
Rouzer
Joyce
Strong
Westerman
Pettersen
MastJack
Boyle
Sherman
Knott
Wagner
Mejia
Adams
McDowell
Bean
Correa
Underwood
Castor
Jackson
Wilson
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Jeffries
Davis
Tran
BentzKurdianBrian Jack is the Republican incumbent seeking re-election in Georgia’s U.S. House District 3. The race is against Democrat Maura Keller.
JackNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBrian Jack | 95.8% | 95.5% | 96.8% | 1.3 pts | – | |
| DMaura Keller | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Brian Jack, a Republican who served as White House political director from 2019 to 2021 and has represented Georgia's 3rd congressional district since 2025, faces Democrat Maura Keller in his 2026 re-election race.
Maura Keller, a Democratic salon owner and her party's 2024 nominee for the seat, faces Republican U.S. Representative Brian Jack again in Georgia's 3rd congressional district in 2026.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Georgia's 3rd District margin of victory
| Jack, 8+ pts | 93.0% | |
| Jack, 11+ pts | 85.0% | |
| Jack, 14+ pts | 74.5% | |
| Jack, 17+ pts | 61.0% | |
| Jack, 20+ pts | 46.0% | |
| Jack, 23+ pts | 30.5% | |
| Jack, 26+ pts | 18.5% | |
| Jack, 29+ pts | 9.5% | |
| Jack, 32+ pts | 4.3% | |
| Jack, 35+ pts | 6.0% implied | |
| Jack, 38+ pts | 4.9% implied |
Prices which party wins.
Brian Jack: Counted · bid 95.0% / ask 96.0% · $2.5K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Brian Jack: Counted · bid 95.8% / ask 97.9% · $695 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Brian Jack
If the House member sworn in for GA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
