Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

Massachusetts Governor 2026

95.1% DMaura Healey leads TruthIndex™Safe D
Polymarket
95.8%
Kalshi
95.1%
Spread
0.9 pts
24h
–
7 days
−0.2
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Massachusetts Governor.

  1. Healey, Minogue meet in final Mass. gubernatorial debate

    Governor Maura Healey and Republican challenger Mike Minogue met in their final gubernatorial debate on Thursday.

    Boston GlobeMinogueHealey
  2. Watch live: Healey, Minogue meet for final gubernatorial debate

    Massachusetts Governor Maura Healey is facing her Republican challenger Mike Minogue for their final debate before voters cast their ballots in the Nov. 3 gubernatorial election.

    Boston GlobeMinogueHealey
  3. Tewksbury 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting Details

    The voter registration deadline is Saturday, Oct. 24. Online registration is available until 11:59 p.m.

  4. Massachusetts governor’s race debate: Live fact-checks of Maura Healey and Mike Minogue

    Our only agenda is to publish the truth so you can be an informed participant in democracy.

    PolitifactMinogue
  5. Massachusetts Governor Healey Declares an ‘Energy Emergency’ As Election Day Nears - IER

    Less than a month before Massachusetts Governor Maura Healey faces reelection, she has called for an energy emergency, issuing an executive order to temporarily reduce electric bills and expand home heating aid ahead of…

    Institute for Energy ResearchHealey
More coverage 9
  1. Chelmsford 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting Details

    Governor and Lieutenant Governor: Maura Healey and Kim Driscoll (D); Michael Minogue and Shawn Oliver (R); Andrea James and Kayla Kittredge (I).

    PatchMinogueDeaton
  2. Federal prosecutors charged LaMar D. Cook, a former Healey aide, with SNAP fraud and wire fraud.

    The article reports that LaMar D. Cook, a former aide to Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey (not the governor), was charged by federal prosecutors with SNAP fraud and wire fraud.

    crimetalknetwork.comMinogue
  3. WATCH LIVE: Healey and Minogue face off in governor's race debate

    Massachusetts Gov. Maura Healey and Republican challenger Mike Minogue will debate tonight in the final campaign face-off before Election Day.

    WBUAHealey
  4. Watch WBZ's gubernatorial debate between Maura Healey and Michael Minogue
    Berkshire EagleMinogueHealey
  5. Burlington 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting Details

    Michael Minogue is a Republican candidate for Governor of Massachusetts in the 2026 election, running against Democratic incumbent Maura Healey and independent candidate Andrea James.

    PatchMinogue
  6. LaMar Cook, former Healey aide, facing more criminal charges

    Michael Minogue, the Republican candidate for Massachusetts governor, criticized the federal charges against LaMar (LaMar) Cook, a former Healey aide, as evidence of “lack of accountability” in Healey’s administration.

    Boston GlobeMinogue
  7. Governor Healey Announces $2 Million in Apprenticeship Grants to Expand Access to Jobs

    Governor Maura Healey’s administration announced $1.9–$2 million in registered apprenticeship grants to expand paid training and career pathways in Massachusetts.

    mass.govOfficialHealey
  8. Your guide to voting in the 2026 general election in Mass.

    Maura Healey is the incumbent Governor of Massachusetts and a Democrat seeking re-election in the 2026 general election.

    WBUAHealey
  9. Governor Healey Announces $1.75 Million to Promote Safe Social Media Use and Support Student Mental Health

    Massachusetts Governor Maura Healey announced $1.75 million in new funding to help schools promote safe social media use and support student mental health.

    mass.govOfficialHealey

Maura Healey, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
DMaura Healey 95.1% 95.8% 95.1% 0.7 pts –
RMichael Minogue 4.9% 4.3% 5.2% 0.9 pts –

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Candidates & Background

Maura Healey

Maura Healey

Democratic Governor of Massachusetts (since 2023)

Maura Healey, a Democrat and former Massachusetts attorney general, has been governor of Massachusetts since 2023 and faces Republican Mike Minogue in her 2026 reelection bid.

Born 1971 · Bethesda, Maryland
Michael Minogue

Michael Minogue

Republican

Former Abiomed chief executive and Republican nominee for governor of Massachusetts in 2026, challenging Democratic incumbent Maura Healey in the November 3 election.

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi19.4K contracts

Massachusetts Governor margin of victory

Healey, 14+ pts
84.5%
Healey, 17+ pts
78.5%
Healey, 20+ pts
72.5%
Healey, 23+ pts
59.5%
Healey, 26+ pts
44.0%
Healey, 29+ pts
29.0%
Healey, 32+ pts
16.5%
Healey, 35+ pts
8.1%
Healey, 38+ pts
5.5%
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$18.1K traded

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican Wins
2.9%
Democrat 0-5%
2.6%
Democrat 5-10%
6.4%
Democrat 10-15%
4.2%
Democrat 15-20%
11.7%
Democrat 20-25%
17.0%
Democrat 25-30%
19.0%
Democrat 30-35%
13.1%
Democrat 35-40%
4.4%
Democrat 40%+
4.3%
Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$112.5K traded

Prices which party wins.

Maura Healey: Counted · bid 95.3% / ask 96.4% · $5.1K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi1.3M contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Maura Healey: Counted · bid 94.9% / ask 95.3% · $84.2K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Maura Healey

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Massachusetts pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi