Wisconsin 2026 elections
Wisconsin, the Upper Midwest state called America's Dairyland, holds a governor's race, 8 US House contests and 3 ballot measures on November 3, 2026.
Unknown author, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons- Capital
- Madison
- Largest city
- Milwaukee
- Population
- 5.97M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 30th state (May 29, 1848)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WI-01 House | RBryan Steil | Lean R | 62.1% | 62.5% | 61.5% | 2.0 pts | −0.6 | −2.7 | 95.5K | ||
| WI-03 House | DRebecca Cooke | Lean D | 74.5% | 74.0% | 74.5% | 0.5 pts | 0.0 | +1.5 | 147.9K | ||
| WI-08 House | RTony Wied | Likely R | 88.7% | 90.0% | 88.5% | 1.5 pts | −0.4 | +0.7 | 53.7K | ||
| WI-06 House | RGlenn Grothman | Safe R | 92.6% | 92.5% | 92.7% | 0.2 pts | −0.6 | 0.0 | 90.5K | ||
| WI-07 House | RMichael Alfonso | Safe R | 95.2% | 94.5% | 95.6% | 1.1 pts | +0.2 | +0.6 | 89.2K | ||
| WI-05 House | RScott Fitzgerald | Safe R | 97.2% | 97.2% | 96.7% | 0.6 pts | +0.9 | +1.1 | 118.3K | ||
| WI-04 House | DGwen Moore | Safe D | 97.2% | 96.4% | 99.3% | 2.8 pts | −0.3 | −0.4 | 38.2K | ||
| WI-02 House | DMark Pocan | Safe D | 98.2% | 98.3% | 98.0% | 0.5 pts | 0.0 | −0.3 | 105.4K |
House seats Democrats win in Wisconsin
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Polymarket$10.0K traded
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
| <2 | 2.6% | |
| 2 | – | |
| 3 | 44.0% | |
| 4 | 31.5% | |
| 5+ | 6.8% |
Political landscape in Wisconsin
Overview
Wisconsin, a Great Lakes state of the Upper Midwest, borders Minnesota on the west, Iowa on the southwest, Illinois on the south and Michigan on the northeast, with Lake Michigan on its east and Lake Superior on its north. With about 6 million residents and roughly 65,500 square miles, it ranks 21st in population and 23rd in area, and it has 72 counties. Milwaukee is the largest city, Madison is the capital and second-largest city, and the Fox Cities and Green Bay are other urban centers. Once within the Northwest Territory, Wisconsin became a state in 1848, and many settlers in the 1800s and early 1900s came from Germany and Scandinavia, whose influence persists in local food. Known as America's Dairyland, the state is one of the nation's leading dairy producers and is known for its cheese, and its economy centers on healthcare, information technology, manufacturing and a farm sector that includes cranberries and ginseng, along with tourism and brewing. Wisconsin is the founding place of the Republican Party (1854) and has been viewed as a swing state since 2016.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, the governor of Wisconsin is Tony Evers (Democratic), and the state's US senators are Ron Johnson (Republican) and Tammy Baldwin (Democratic).
2026 elections
On November 3, 2026, voters in Wisconsin will decide the race for governor, contests in 8 US House districts and 3 ballot measures. The three amendments concern places of worship during emergencies, government discrimination or preferential treatment, and partial vetoes that raise taxes or fees.
Ballot measures
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin: Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment Yes |
Yes | Lean Yes | 61.0% Kalshi only |
– | 61.0% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 471 | ||
| Wisconsin: Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment Yes |
Yes | Lean Yes | 69.0% Kalshi only |
– | 69.0% | – | −0.5 | −1.0 | 383 | ||
| Wisconsin: Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment Yes |
Yes | Likely Yes | 82.0% Kalshi only |
– | 82.0% | – | −0.5 | −1.0 | 3.0K |