US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for GA-05 House.
The Georgia House of Representatives is considering a Senate-approved congressional map after a House committee advanced it. The map has now moved toward a vote on the House floor.
The article discusses building stronger teams around young people in sports, featuring Lars Salvesen (KRF) who serves as the county councilor for business, sport, diversity, and public health.
1) The unknowns and jockeying around potential leadership contenders, including Jason Smith (Missouri) and other members who are considering runs or influenced by internal groups like the Republican Study Committee…
The page reports that Congresswoman Nikema Williams (GA-05) introduced a resolution commemorating National Nonviolence Week, observed annually in the first week of October.
Congresswoman Nikema Williams (GA-05) has introduced a resolution commemorating National Nonviolence Week, observed in the first week of October.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNikema Williams | 98.8% | 98.6% | 99.0% | 0.4 pts | – | |
| RJohn Oscar Salvesen | 1.4% Kalshi only |
– | 1.4% | – | – |
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John Oscar Salvesen, a handyman, is the Republican nominee for Georgia's 5th congressional district in 2026, facing Democratic incumbent Nikema Williams in the November general election.
Nikema Williams, a Democrat who has represented Georgia's 5th congressional district since 2021 and chaired the Democratic Party of Georgia from 2019 to 2025, faces Republican John Salvesen in her 2026 reelection race.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Georgia's 5th District margin of victory
| Williams, 59+ pts | 95.9% | |
| Williams, 62+ pts | 94.2% | |
| Williams, 65+ pts | 89.1% | |
| Williams, 68+ pts | 81.5% | |
| Williams, 71+ pts | 71.0% | |
| Williams, 74+ pts | 57.5% | |
| Williams, 77+ pts | 36.0% implied | |
| Williams, 80+ pts | 23.5% | |
| Williams, 83+ pts | 10.9% |
Prices which party wins.
Nikema Williams: Counted · bid 97.4% / ask 99.8% · $2.4K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Nikema Williams: Counted · bid 98.1% / ask 99.8% · $3.1K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Nikema Williams
If the House member sworn in for GA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
