Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
House · 3 November 2026

GA-08 House 2026

97.9% RAustin Scott leads TruthIndex™Safe R
Polymarket
98.0%
Kalshi
97.8%
Spread
0.4 pts
24h
–
7 days
+0.8
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for GA-08 House.

  1. Jordan dari Partai Republik Garis Keras Dicalonkan Jadi Ketua DPR AS

    Ringkasan: Artikel melaporkan bahwa Jim Jordan dari Partai Republik yang garis keras terpilih sebagai calon Ketua DPR AS, memenangkan dukungan awal melawan Austin Scott (anggota Kongres Georgia, GA-08).

    katakini.comScott
  2. Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean seeks return to Congress in race vs. Republican Jennifer Davis - CBS Chicago

    The CBS Chicago article covers former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean seeking to return to Congress in Illinois’ 8th District, challenging Republican Jennifer Davis.

  3. An Update from Congressman Austin Scott

    The article is an update from U.S. Representative Austin Scott (GA-08), reflecting on the last two years of Republican control in Congress.

    laniercountynewsonline.comScott
  4. Who is running for the U.S. House in the Chicago area during the 2026 midterm elections? - CBS Chicago

    The page appears to discuss who is running for the U.S. House in the Chicago area for the 2026 midterms, including information on candidates and elections in various districts.

  5. Union County voters face Harris-Watson District 8 race

    The article covers the Union County, NC U.S. House District 8 race between Republican incumbent Mark Harris and Democratic challenger Colby Watson, with Green Party candidate Bo Whitehead also on the ballot.

    thewaxhawsdispatch.comEstiLehmacherWatson
More coverage 4
  1. District 151 challengers Wolfe, Lockhart offer plans for schools, rural jobs, health care

    The Albany Herald article covers the District 151 race for the Georgia House, focusing on challengers Wolfe and Lockhart and their plans for schools, rural job creation, and health care.

  2. Trump Calls Off Livestream of Firing Squad Execution After Backlash

    Summary for "Austin Scott GA-08 House" based on the provided page

    New RepublicScott
  3. Execution of Fort Hood shooter will no longer be live-streamed, Trump says

    The Deseret News article reports that the planned livestream of the Fort Hood shooter’s execution has been canceled. It notes that Rep.

    Deseret NewsScott
  4. Trump scraps livestream execution of Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan

    A Telegraph report notes that President or officials scrapped a livestream execution plan for Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan, with a quoted remark from Austin Scott, a Republican congressman from Georgia (GA-08),…

    Daily Telegraph (UK)Scott

Austin Scott, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
RAustin Scott 97.9% 98.0% 97.8% 0.3 pts –
DKelly Esti 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 0.4 pts –

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<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/house/ga-08/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=house-ga-08">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

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Candidates & Background

Austin Scott

Austin Scott

Republican U.S. Representative for Georgia's 8th congressional district (since 2011)

Austin Scott, a Republican who has represented Georgia's 8th congressional district in the U.S. House since 2011, faces Democrat Kelly Esti, a businessman, in his 2026 reelection race.

Born 1969 · Augusta

Kelly Esti

Democratic

Kelly Esti, a businessman, is the Democratic nominee for Georgia's 8th congressional district in 2026, challenging Republican incumbent Austin Scott in the November 3 general election.

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi343 contracts

Georgia's 8th District margin of victory

Scott, 17+ pts
90.0%
Scott, 20+ pts
80.5%
Scott, 23+ pts
67.5%
Scott, 26+ pts
52.5%
Scott, 29+ pts
36.5%
Scott, 32+ pts
23.5%
Scott, 35+ pts
12.5%
Scott, 38+ pts
5.5%
Scott, 41+ pts
3.3%
Source: Kalshi market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$50.4K traded

Prices which party wins.

Austin Scott: Counted · bid 96.9% / ask 99.2% · $1.8K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi7.4K contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Austin Scott: Counted · bid 97.6% / ask 97.9% · $1.6K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Austin Scott

If the House member sworn in for GA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi