Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

Ohio Governor 2026

71.3% DAmy Acton leads TruthIndex™Lean D
Polymarket
72.5%
Kalshi
70.5%
Spread
2.0 pts
24h
–
7 days
+1.8
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Ohio Governor.

  1. Acton visits Columbus-area restaurant on the campaign trail

    COLUMBUS, Ohio (WSYX): Just 19 days before Ohioans hit the polls, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Dr. Amy Acton stopped at B&K Smoke House in East Columbus.

    WSYXActon
  2. US Election 2026 Ohio Governor |

    Email notifications are only sent once a day, and only if there are new matching items.

    WFMJ -YoungstownActon
  3. Ramaswamy keeps big money lead in Ohio governor’s race, though Acton closes gap

    Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and his allies still have a 3-to-1 advantage in political ad spending, though Acton and Democrats are surging in fundraising and

    cleveland.comRamaswamy
  4. Ramaswamy Criticizes Amy Acton Over Ohio Debate Refusal

    HomeUS ElectionsRamaswamy Attacks Dem Opponent Amy Acton For Not Debating Him

    India WestRamaswamyActon
  5. Vivek Ramaswamy Trails in Ohio Governor’s Race, Challenges Democratic Rival Over Debate Refusal

    Facebook X LinkedIn Tumblr Pinterest Reddit VKontakte Odnoklassniki Pocket

    indianewengland.comRamaswamyActon
More coverage 12
  1. 'On Brand:' Ohio GOP Governor Nominee Vivek Ramaswamy Featured Registered Sex Offender in Campaign Ad

    Ramaswamy, the biotech entrepreneur who ran for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024 and was named to co-lead the Department of Government Efficiency with Elon Musk before stepping away to run for governor, is…

    International Business Times UKRamaswamy
  2. Vivek Ramaswamy says he would resume Ohio executions if elected governor: Capitol Letter

    Death penalty, back to life? Republican gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy on Wednesday vowed if elected to end Ohio’s 8-year-long moratorium on the death penalty and expressed an “open-mindedness” to allowing…

    cleveland.comRamaswamy
  3. Amy Acton talks affordability, debates in Ohio governor race

    Amy Acton believes Ohioans are sick of political vitriol and want elected officials to solve problems.

    Columbus DispatchActon
  4. Dr. Amy Acton targets cost of living and data center regulation in Ohio run

    MONTGOMERY COUNTY: This month, Ohio has seen three visits from the White House pushing for candidates.

    WHIOActon
  5. Vivek Ramaswamy fights uphill in US' Ohio, criticises opponent Amy Acton's 'no debate' stance

    Indian-American Republican Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign promises for Ohio governor race, including death penalty, handgun laws, and $4 billion property tax

    thehawk.inRamaswamy
  6. Lantern reporter denied entry for Amy Acton event

    Amy Acton, the 2026 Democratic nominee for governor, speaks at a press conference in her hometown of Bexley, Ohio on Tuesday, Aug. 25, 2026. Credit: Jeremy Pelzer via TNS.

    thelantern.comActon
  7. GOP candidate for governor opposes data center tax break, would resume executions in Ohio

    "What’s baked in that question is assuming that every dollar is dollar for dollar swapped out. I'm not necessarily saying that's going to be the case.

    Statehouse News BureauActon
  8. Licensable picture: Ohio governor candidate Vivek Ramaswamy rolls out a plan to tackle Medicaid fraud in light of allegations about home healthcare

    Ohio governor candidate Vivek Ramaswamy rolls out a plan to tackle Medicaid fraud in light of allegations about home healthcare issues.

    ReutersRamaswamy
  9. Vivek Ramaswamy talks gun control, data centers at Ohio forum

    The Republican candidate for governor addressed numerous policy topics during a wide-ranging onstage interview on Wednesday with the Columbus Metropolitan Club, a civic organization, just weeks ahead of the Nov.

    signalohio.orgRamaswamy
  10. Amy Acton campaigns at closed-door rally while Vivek Ramaswamy criticizes her at Columbus forum

    Ohio State University students attend a campaign rally for Dr. Amy Acton, the Democratic candidate for Ohio governor, at WOSU Public Media on October 14, 2026.

    WOSUActon
  11. Ohio governor odds: Acton's chances surge to 68% over Ramaswamy

    Democrat Amy Acton is a former Ohio Department of Health director appointed by Republican Gov. Mike DeWine.

    news.kalshi.comActon
  12. Ohio poll finds Republicans slightly ahead but within margin of error in Senator, governor races

    In the Senate race, 44% said they’d vote for Husted, 43% said they’d vote for Brown, 4% said they’d vote for either Independent Greg Levy or Libertarian William Redpath, and 9% were undecided.

    WCMHRamaswamyHusted

Amy Acton, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
DAmy Acton 71.3% 72.5% 70.5% 2.0 pts –
RVivek Ramaswamy 29.9% 28.5% 30.5% 2.0 pts –

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Candidates & Background

Amy Acton

Amy Acton

Democratic

Amy Acton, a physician who directed Ohio's Department of Health early in the COVID-19 pandemic, faces Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as the Democratic candidate for Ohio governor in 2026.

Born 1966 · Youngstown, Ohio
Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

Republican

Entrepreneur who founded Roivant Sciences and ran in the 2024 Republican presidential primaries, the Republican Party's 2026 nominee for governor of Ohio, facing Democrat Amy Acton.

Born 1985 · Cincinnati, Ohio

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi15.5K contracts

Ohio Governor margin of victory

Ramaswamy, 1+ pts
24.5%
Ramaswamy, 3+ pts
16.5%
Ramaswamy, 6+ pts
7.0%
Ramaswamy, 9+ pts
3.0%
Ramaswamy, 12+ pts
4.2%
Source: Kalshi market

Kalshi24.3K contracts

Ohio Governor margin of victory

Acton, 1+ pts
65.5%
Acton, 3+ pts
50.5%
Acton, 6+ pts
31.5%
Acton, 9+ pts
15.5%
Acton, 12+ pts
8.0%
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$20.4K traded

Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory

Acton 12%+
10.3%
Acton 9-12%
10.2%
Acton 6-9%
10.8%
Acton 3-6%
19.0%
Acton 0-3%
21.0%
Ramaswamy 0-3%
15.5%
Ramaswamy 3-6%
6.2%
Ramaswamy 6-9%
4.9%
Ramaswamy 9-12%
2.9%
Ramaswamy 12%+
4.5%
Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$438.0K traded

Prices which party wins.

Amy Acton: Counted · bid 72.0% / ask 73.0% · $176.5K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi2.6M contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Amy Acton: Counted · bid 70.0% / ask 71.0% · $293.9K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Amy Acton

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi