House · 3 November 2026

OH-07 House 2026

80.6% DBrian Poindexter leads TruthIndex™Likely D

Polymarket: 81.0%
Kalshi: 80.5%
Spread: 0.5 pts
24h: –
7 days: +0.1
Updated: Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for OH-07 House.

4 stories this week

Top story

Who’s on your Nov. 3 ballot? A look at all the midterm races | Elections

Topic: Ohio’s 6th Congressional District (OH-06) House race coverage in Cleveland Jewish News.

Cleveland Jewish NewsYesterdayKirtley Poindexter

Latta Akin

Today
The midterm elections: What you need to know
Iowa: Ashley Hinson (R) vs. Josh Turek (D) [...] Advertisement

aol.com6h agoGarcia Moody Nixon Poindexter Cruz Sneed
Wednesday, Oct 14
Innovation Times U.S. House of Representatives Races to Watch in the 2026 Midterm Elections: Battleground Districts That Could Decide Control of Congress
Brian Poindexter is challenging incumbent Republican Rep. Max Miller in Ohio’s 7th Congressional District.

innovationtimes.orgYesterdayHines Poindexter Shah
Max Miller’s Campaign Is Deep in Debt: to Miller Himself
The Washington Sun article reveals that Max Miller’s campaign is heavily indebted to itself, with notable external contributions in 2024 from high-profile Republicans.

The Washington SunYesterdayPoindexter Guthrie

Brian Poindexter, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

All outcomes

Outcome	TruthIndex™		Polymarket	Kalshi	Spread	24h
DBrian Poindexter	80.6%		81.0%	80.5%	0.5 pts	–
RMax Miller	19.5%		19.5%	19.5%	0.0 pts	–

Polymarket Kalshi

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<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/house/oh-07/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=house-oh-07">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

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Candidates & Background

Brian Poindexter

Democratic

Brian Poindexter, a Democrat, is his party's 2026 nominee for Ohio's 7th congressional district after winning an eight-candidate primary, and he faces Republican incumbent Max Miller in the general election.

Full candidate profile →

Max Miller

Republican U.S. Representative for Ohio's 7th congressional district (since 2023)

Max Miller, a Republican who has represented Ohio's 7th congressional district since 2023 after serving in the first Trump administration, faces Democrat Brian Poindexter in his 2026 bid for re-election.

Born 1988

Full candidate profile →

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi41.2K contracts

Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

Miller, 1+ pts		19.5%
Miller, 4+ pts		7.7%
Miller, 7+ pts		7.4% implied
Miller, 10+ pts		3.4%
Miller, 13+ pts		3.8%
Miller, 16+ pts		2.9%
Miller, 19+ pts		4.2% implied
Miller, 22+ pts		4.9% implied

Source: Kalshi market

Kalshi20.5K contracts

Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

Poindexter, 2+ pts		76.0%
Poindexter, 4+ pts		60.5%
Poindexter, 6+ pts		51.0%
Poindexter, 8+ pts		37.5%
Poindexter, 10+ pts		28.5%
Poindexter, 12+ pts		16.5%
Poindexter, 14+ pts		10.5%
Poindexter, 16+ pts		5.6%
Poindexter, 18+ pts		4.3%
Poindexter, 20+ pts		3.4%

Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$26.8K traded

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12%+		0.8% implied
Republican 9-12%		1.0% implied
Republican 6-9%		2.9%
Republican 3-6%		6.3%
Republican 0-3%		15.8%
Democrat 0-3%		19.5%
Democrat 3-6%		16.0%
Democrat 6-9%		13.5%
Democrat 9-12%		11.0%
Democrat 12%+		12.5%

Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$92.6K traded

Prices which party wins.

Brian Poindexter: Counted · bid 80.0% / ask 82.0% · $8.2K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi207.9K contracts traded