Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

South Carolina Governor 2026

94.6% RAlan Wilson leads TruthIndex™Safe R
Polymarket
94.5%
Kalshi
94.6%
Spread
0.3 pts
24h
–
7 days
0.0
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for South Carolina Governor.

  1. Republican nominee for SC governor Alan Wilson announces affordability agenda

    The article centers on Republican governor candidate Alan Wilson’s affordability agenda and includes a response from Democratic challenger Jermaine Johnson.

    WHNSJohnsonWilson
  2. Contenders Linked to Edge Rusher Jermaine Johnson as Titans Weigh Selling Before Free Agency

    The article discusses the Tennessee Titans edge rusher Jermaine Johnson II, who is drawing trade speculation as the team under new ownership of a rebuilding phase.

    Raleigh News & ObserverJohnson
  3. South Carolina Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results

    Every two years 7 Congressional Districts are up for election.View theprimary contests.

    NBC NewsWilson
  4. Stumbo, Hricik face off in S.C. attorney general race

    COLUMBIA, S.C. (WRDW/WAGT) - For the first time in more than 15 years, South Carolina voters will elect a new attorney general. With Alan Wilson, who has

    WRDW News 12Wilson
  5. "Cycle of debt": Concerns continue for families as inflation rises again

    "People are getting into a cycle of debt, literally borrowing against their paycheck, just to keep food on their table," Berkowitz said.

    WACHWilsonJohnson
More coverage 6
  1. Jets Shakeup: Jermaine Johnson Traded to Titans for T'Vondre Sweat (2026)

    NFL teams: New York Jets trade edge rusher Jermaine Johnson to the Tennessee Titans for defensive tackle T’Vondre Sweat.

    1shopelectrical.comJohnson
  2. 49ers news: 10 trade targets for the Niners at the deadline

    The article discusses potential trade targets for the San Francisco 49ers at the NFL trade deadline, highlighting Jermaine Johnson II of the Tennessee Titans as a notable target.

    ninersnation.comJohnson
  3. Rahm Emanuel Makes Early State Swing

    Included on his itinerary? A trip to Mountainview Baptist Church in Greenville, S.C., where he met with a group of several local faith leaders.

    FitsNewsJohnson
  4. Who is running for SC attorney general? Here’s what Stumbo, Hricik pledge to do

    COLUMBIA, S.C. (WIS) - For the first time in more than 15 years, South Carolina voters will elect a new attorney general.

    WISWilson
  5. Jasmine Crockett’s FIRE PAC Announces 19 Endorsements Ahead of November Midterm Elections

    Arkansas: Dr. Chris Jones, U.S. House District 2; Cassandra Mayes, Arkansas House District 71

    stylemagazine.comJohnson
  6. Ex-fiancé of US Rep. Nancy Mace, two others charged with sex crimes

    The charges mirror accusations Mace made against the men in a nearly hourlong speech on the U.S. House Floor in February 2025.

    Courthouse News ServiceWilson

Alan Wilson, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
RAlan Wilson 94.6% 94.5% 94.6% 0.1 pts –
DJermaine Johnson 5.0% 4.9% 5.2% 0.3 pts –

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Candidates & Background

Alan Wilson

Alan Wilson

Republican Attorney General of South Carolina (since 2011)

Republican attorney general of South Carolina since 2011 and National Guard colonel, the Republican Party's 2026 nominee for governor of South Carolina.

Born 1973 · Fort Wolters, Texas
Jermaine Johnson

Jermaine Johnson

Democratic Member of the South Carolina House of Representatives (since 2020)

Jermaine Johnson, a Democratic member of the South Carolina House and former professional basketball player, is his party's 2026 nominee for governor of South Carolina.

Born 1985 · Los Angeles, California

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi3.6K contracts

South Carolina Governor margin of victory

Wilson, 1+ pts
94.3%
Wilson, 4+ pts
90.8%
Wilson, 7+ pts
80.0%
Wilson, 10+ pts
66.5%
Wilson, 13+ pts
48.0%
Wilson, 16+ pts
30.0%
Wilson, 19+ pts
17.5%
Wilson, 22+ pts
8.1%
Wilson, 25+ pts
4.4%
Source: Kalshi market

Kalshi2.2K contracts

South Carolina Governor margin of victory

Yes
3.4%
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$15.4K traded

South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25%+
4.5%
Republican 20-25%
13.5%
Republican 15-20%
18.5%
Republican 10-15%
–
Republican 5-10%
26.5%
Republican 0-5%
–
Democrat 0-5%
4.3%
Democrat 5%+
3.1%
Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$18.9K traded

Prices which party wins.

Alan Wilson: Counted · bid 94.0% / ask 95.0% · $7.8K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi33.9K contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Alan Wilson: Counted · bid 94.0% / ask 95.3% · $8.4K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Alan Wilson

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of South Carolina pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi