Top story
It’s official: it’s all about the volunteers (and listeners)
The article centers on EMFM’s operations and leadership, highlighting John Vincent as the station manager who performs multiple roles essential to EMFM’s functioning.
Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
House · 3 November 2026
SC-07 House 2026
- Polymarket
- 95.5%
- Kalshi
- 95.2%
- Spread
- 1.0 pts
- 24h
- –
- 7 days
- +0.2
- Updated
- Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage
Live News
Recent coverage for SC-07 House.
-
You don’t hear him on air, but without him, no-one goes live
The Riverine Herald piece highlights Graeme’s essential behind-the-scenes role in preparing and installing the new live-television technical setup.
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Get a piece of radio, and music, history
The Riverine Herald article features station manager John Vincent describing a rare opportunity linked to a major sale and anniversary event at the radio station.
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The Unsung Heroes of the Mike Rowe Effect: Celebrating the Value of Skilled Trades
John Vincent, a veteran electrician quoted in Assurant’s piece, highlights apprenticeships as an effective entry point into the skilled trades.
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Spare time gets you in all sorts of sticky situations
The article profiles John Vincent, a longtime leader at EMFM and a key figure in its revival.
No story this week names this candidate.
Russell Fry, last 60 days
How to read this chart
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in MethodologyAll outcomes
| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RRussell Fry | 95.2% | 95.5% | 95.2% | 0.3 pts | – | |
| DJohn Vincent | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 1.0 pts | – |
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Candidates & Background
John Vincent
Democratic
John Vincent, a retiree, is the Democratic nominee for South Carolina's 7th congressional district in 2026, facing Republican incumbent Russell Fry in the November 3 general election.
Russell Fry
Republican U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 7th congressional district (since 2023)
Russell Fry, a Republican lawyer who has represented South Carolina's 7th congressional district since 2023, seeks re-election in 2026 against Democrat John Vincent.
Margin of victory
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Kalshi1.3K contracts
South Carolina's 7th District margin of victory
| Fry, 3+ pts | 93.1% | |
| Fry, 6+ pts | 88.0% | |
| Fry, 9+ pts | 82.5% | |
| Fry, 12+ pts | 72.5% | |
| Fry, 15+ pts | 57.5% | |
| Fry, 18+ pts | 42.5% | |
| Fry, 21+ pts | 29.5% | |
| Fry, 24+ pts | 19.5% | |
| Fry, 27+ pts | 12.8% | |
| Fry, 30+ pts | 5.2% | |
| Fry, 33+ pts | 3.1% |
Polymarket$10.2K traded
SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 4.6% | |
| Republican 0-5% | 4.4% | |
| Republican 5-10% | 4.1% | |
| Republican 10-15% | – | |
| Republican 15-20% | 26.6% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 33.5% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 3.9% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 2.3% | |
| Republican 35%+ | 3.3% |
Each venue's market
Polymarket$55.9K traded
Prices which party wins.
Russell Fry: Counted · bid 95.0% / ask 96.0% · $456 within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketKalshi20.0K contracts traded
Prices which party wins.
Russell Fry: Counted · bid 93.8% / ask 96.6% · $25.0K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Russell Fry
If the House member sworn in for SC-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Also in South Carolina
- South Carolina SenateR85%
- South Carolina GovernorR95%
- SC-01 HouseR71%
- SC-02 HouseR88%
- SC-03 HouseR97%
- SC-04 HouseR96%
- SC-05 HouseR93%
- SC-06 HouseD97%