US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for SC-06 House.
The article profiles Hunter Marine and notes that John Peterson, who joined Hunter in 1994 and became president in 2007, led the company through the 2008–2009 recession with a restructuring that kept the business “month…
Jim Clyburn is the U.S. Representative for South Carolina’s 6th congressional district (SC-06).
ClyburnJohn Peterson of Realty One Group Reside is the listing agent for the 3-bedroom home at 921 Sandbar Road, Blythewood, SC 29016.
Ferndale Market, founded in 1939 by Dale Peterson as a turkey farm in the Little Cannon River Valley, remains a family business now in its third generation under John Peterson and his wife Erica.
The article reports that Rep. Casten plans to challenge 88-year-old Rep. Maxine Waters for a leadership position on a committee, highlighting concerns about age in Democratic leadership.
ClyburnNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJim Clyburn | 97.0% | 96.2% | 97.2% | 1.0 pts | – | |
| RJohn Peterson | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9 pts | – |
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Jim Clyburn, a Democrat who has represented South Carolina's 6th congressional district since 1993 and served as House majority whip, seeks re-election in 2026 against Republican John Peterson.
John Peterson, president of the Deer Park 1B precinct in the Charleston County Republican Party, is the Republican nominee for South Carolina's 6th congressional district in 2026 against Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
South Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
| Clyburn, 19+ pts | 86.1% | |
| Clyburn, 22+ pts | 79.5% | |
| Clyburn, 25+ pts | 70.5% | |
| Clyburn, 28+ pts | 61.5% | |
| Clyburn, 31+ pts | 52.5% | |
| Clyburn, 34+ pts | 43.5% | |
| Clyburn, 37+ pts | 31.5% | |
| Clyburn, 40+ pts | 20.5% | |
| Clyburn, 43+ pts | 10.0% |
SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 2.3% | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 2.5% | |
| Democrat 5-15% | 3.7% | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 4.5% | |
| Democrat 20-25% | – | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 31.5% | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 29.0% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 21.0% | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 6.5% | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 4.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Jim Clyburn: Counted · bid 95.8% / ask 96.5% · $725 within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Jim Clyburn: Counted · bid 96.3% / ask 98.0% · $4.8K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Jim Clyburn
If the House member sworn in for SC-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
