US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for GA-13 House.
The article profiles U.S. Representative Emilia Sykes (D-Akron), incumbent in Ohio’s 13th District, who is running for reelection against Republican Carey Coleman.
SykesKnickerbocker
ClarkDulaneyThe Georgia House of Representatives is considering a Senate-approved congressional map after a House committee advanced it. The map has now moved toward a vote on the House floor.
The article reports that Ohio lawmakers plan to revisit a data center bill later this month. It covers actions by the state legislature’s Select Committee on Data Centers, including involvement from Rep.
Topic: The 13th Congressional District race in California (GA-13), focusing on Democrat Rep. Adam Gray and Republican challenger Kevin Lincoln.
The article highlights Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX) engaging Black voters by mobilizing at a Divine Nine meet-up in Milwaukee, as part of Harris campaign outreach.
ClarkThe article provides a basic overview of Georgia’s 2024 General Assembly, including that the Georgia House of Representatives is in session and general timing (starts January 8, 2024).
ClarkThe Albany Herald article covers the District 151 race for the Georgia House, focusing on challengers Wolfe and Lockhart and their plans for schools, rural job creation, and health care.
The article discusses the 6th Congressional District race in California, focusing on Kiley (likely Brian Kiley?) entering blue territory after redistricting and facing a challenge from a former state senator for the…
ClarkNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJasmine Clark | 98.3% | 98.3% | 98.3% | 0.0 pts | – | |
| RJonathan Chavez | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3 pts | – |
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Jasmine Clark, a Democrat who has represented the 108th district in the Georgia House of Representatives since 2019, is her party's nominee for Georgia's 13th congressional district in 2026 against Republican Jonathan Chavez.
Jonathan Chavez, a Republican and former chairman of the Rockdale County Republican Party, is his party's nominee for Georgia's 13th congressional district in 2026 against Democrat Jasmine Clark.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
| Clark, 34+ pts | 96.8% | |
| Clark, 37+ pts | 92.0% implied | |
| Clark, 40+ pts | 93.5% | |
| Clark, 43+ pts | 89.1% | |
| Clark, 46+ pts | 81.5% | |
| Clark, 49+ pts | 69.5% | |
| Clark, 52+ pts | 54.5% | |
| Clark, 55+ pts | 39.0% | |
| Clark, 58+ pts | 14.0% implied |
Prices which party wins.
Jasmine Clark: Counted · bid 97.1% / ask 99.4% · $1.3K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Jasmine Clark: Counted · bid 96.7% / ask 99.8% · $2.6K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Jasmine Clark
If the House member sworn in for GA-13 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
