US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for MA-05 House.
Massachusetts House Rep. Katherine Clark (MA-05) is at the center of a DHS/ICE scrutiny after a Massachusetts delegation pressed Homeland Security for an inspection of an ICE field office.
GARDEN CITY, NY: Today, Congresswoman Laura Gillen (NY-04) and Whip Katherine Clark (MA-05) hosted a fireside chat with Nassau County residents and leaders at Harmony Health in Garden City to discuss how rising…
Lori Trahan (MA-03) discussed the potential outcomes for a lame-duck session in 2026, noting a “huge range” of possibilities depending on the November election.
The article discusses Democratic leadership dynamics in the House, highlighting Rep. Katherine Clark as a potential top leader if Democrats win the chamber.
Clark
Gottheimer
Cleaver
FosterNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DKatherine Clark | 97.4% | 96.8% | 98.3% | 1.5 pts | – | |
| RRepublican Party | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.1 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Katherine Clark, a Democrat who has represented Massachusetts's 5th congressional district since 2013 and served as House minority whip since 2023, is running unopposed for re-election in the 2026 general election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory
| Clark, 39+ pts | 95.5% implied | |
| Clark, 42+ pts | 96.6% implied | |
| Clark, 45+ pts | 96.6% implied | |
| Clark, 48+ pts | 95.5% implied | |
| Clark, 51+ pts | 96.6% implied | |
| Clark, 54+ pts | 96.6% implied | |
| Clark, 57+ pts | 97.7% implied | |
| Clark, 60+ pts | 96.4% implied | |
| Clark, 63+ pts | 96.4% implied |
Prices which party wins.
Katherine Clark: Counted · bid 96.2% / ask 97.5% · $1.1K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Katherine Clark: Counted · bid 97.1% / ask 99.5% · $581 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Katherine Clark
If the House member sworn in for MA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
