US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Tallahassee Mayor.
Jeremy Matlow, candidate for Tallahassee mayor, has secured endorsements from national environmental groups, including the Jane Fonda Climate PAC, as part of a broader slate of progressive support ahead of the November…
MatlowNext month, Tallahassee voters will choose a new mayor and fill two City Commission seats in an election that could shift the voting trends at City Hall.
AusleyLocal Leon County officials are opposing Amendment 3, a property tax-cutting proposal on the November ballot. They warn that approving Amendment 3 would trigger deep cuts to a wide range of local services.
The article explains that in Leon County, Florida, local races are nonpartisan on general election ballots, so candidates’ names appear without party labels.
The Midday Update focuses on local news in the Big Bend region. A key item is the LCS (likely Leon County Schools) Board’s unanimous approval of a $30 million short-term loan at 3.95% interest to cover payroll while…
The article discusses how a new leadership mix in Tallahassee, including both new and seasoned lawmakers and a potential new governor, could alter tensions between the governor and the legislature.
The Tallahassee Reports reports that Dot Inman-Johnson’s campaign ran a radio ad attacking incumbent City Commissioner Dianne Williams-Cox, using the racially charged term “Negroes” to imply Black officials are…
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loranne Ausley | 54.0% | 54.5% | 53.0% | 1.5 pts | – | |
| Jeremy Matlow | 46.7% | 45.4% | 48.0% | 2.6 pts | – | |
| Daryl Parks | 2.5% Polymarket only |
2.5% | – | – | – | |
| Al Lawson | 0.2% implied |
– | – | – | – | |
| Michael Foust | 0.1% implied |
– | – | – | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Jeremy Matlow is a Tallahassee city commissioner and a Democrat who ran in the 2026 election for mayor of Tallahassee, Florida.
Loranne Ausley, a Democratic attorney who served in the Florida House and Florida Senate for the Tallahassee area, is a declared candidate in the 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election.
Prices which candidate wins.
Loranne Ausley: Counted · bid 53.0% / ask 56.0% · $594 within 5 pts
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which candidate wins.
Loranne Ausley: Counted · bid 52.0% / ask 54.0% · $267 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Loranne Ausley
If Loranne Ausley wins the 2026 Tallahassee, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
