US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for FL-22 House.
The article highlights four U.S. House races in the Palm Beach and Treasure Coast area as covered by WPTV, including District 21 where James Martin (D) runs against incumbent Brian Mast (R).
Voters statewide will also decide three constitutional amendments appearing on the Florida ballot.
The DCCC has launched a six-figure, bilingual Spanish/English ad campaign in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District to boost Democrat Pia Dandiya and attack Republican Casey Askar.
The DCCC announces a new digital ad campaign focused on Latino voters in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District (FL-22).
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPia Dandiya | 54.1% | 54.0% | 54.5% | 0.5 pts | – | |
| RCasey Askar | 46.0% | 46.5% | 44.5% | 2.0 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Casey Askar, a businessman who ran for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2020, is the Republican nominee for the open 22nd district seat in 2026 against Democrat Pia Dandiya.
Pia Dandiya, a former school principal and manager of the Apple Strategic Innovations Group, is the Democratic nominee for the open 22nd congressional district seat in Florida in 2026 against Republican Casey Askar.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Florida's 22nd District margin of victory
| Dandiya, 2+ pts | 48.5% | |
| Dandiya, 5+ pts | 22.5% | |
| Dandiya, 8+ pts | 20.5% | |
| Dandiya, 11+ pts | 12.7% | |
| Dandiya, 14+ pts | 6.6% | |
| Dandiya, 17+ pts | 3.8% | |
| Dandiya, 20+ pts | 5.6% implied | |
| Dandiya, 23+ pts | 4.8% implied | |
| Dandiya, 26+ pts | 4.6% implied |
Prices which party wins.
Pia Dandiya: Counted · bid 53.0% / ask 55.0% · $64.2K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Pia Dandiya: Counted · bid 54.0% / ask 55.0% · $26.1K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Pia Dandiya
If the House member sworn in for FL-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
