Updated Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
3 November 2026

Tennessee 2026 elections

Tennessee, the Volunteer State, elects a US senator and a governor on November 3, 2026, and also fills nine House seats and decides three amendments.

Flag of Tennessee-xfi-, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
Capital
Nashville
Largest city
Nashville
Population
7.32M (2025 estimate)
Statehood
16th state (June 1, 1796)

Current officeholders

Governor 2026 Ballot
R Bill Lee
U.S. Senator Term ends later
R Marsha Blackburn
U.S. Senator 2026 Ballot
R Bill Hagerty

House

ContestLeaderRatingTruthIndex™ PolymarketKalshiSpread24h7 daysVolumeTrend
TN-09 House RBrent Taylor Likely R 87.2% 87.5% 87.0% 0.5 pts 0.0 −0.1 76.1K
TN-05 House RCharlie Hatcher Safe R 94.4% 94.5% 94.3% 0.2 pts −0.1 +2.2 117.5K
TN-06 House RJohnny Garrett Safe R 95.4% 95.0% 96.0% 1.4 pts −0.4 0.0 24.8K
TN-07 House RMatt Van Epps Safe R 95.8% 95.8% 95.8% 0.6 pts −0.8 +0.6 50.3K
TN-02 House RTim Burchett Safe R 96.0% 95.5% 96.5% 1.6 pts −0.4 −0.2 35.9K
TN-03 House RChuck Fleischmann Safe R 96.4% 96.0% 97.5% 2.8 pts −0.2 +0.3 59.4K
TN-08 House RDavid Kustoff Safe R 96.6% 96.7% 96.2% 0.7 pts −0.2 +1.6 59.8K
TN-04 House RScott DesJarlais Safe R 97.0% 96.9% 97.2% 0.3 pts +0.5 +1.1 135.2K
TN-01 House RDiana Harshbarger Safe R 97.0% 97.0% 97.0% 0.4 pts −1.2 −0.7 29.3K

House seats Democrats win in Tennessee

Each venue's market, shown on its own.

Kalshi6.2K contracts

How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?

0
84.5%
1
13.5%
2
3.0%
Above 2
2.5%
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$1.6K traded

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

0
84.0%
1
14.5%
2
1.7%
3
1.9%
4
0.5%
5
0.5%
6+
0.5%
Source: Polymarket market

Political landscape in Tennessee

Overview

Tennessee is a landlocked Southeastern state bordered by Kentucky, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas and Missouri. It ranks 36th in area and 15th in population. The state is split into three Grand Divisions, East, Middle and West Tennessee, and Nashville is the capital, largest city and center of the biggest metro area. Its terrain runs from the Blue Ridge Mountains and Cumberland Plateau in the east to fertile plains in the west, where the Mississippi River marks the border, and Great Smoky Mountains National Park draws more visitors than any other national park. Once part of North Carolina and then the Southwest Territory, Tennessee gained statehood on June 1, 1796, as the 16th state. It seceded later than any other state and, after the war, was the first Confederate state readmitted. Federal investment through the Tennessee Valley Authority and Oak Ridge helped diversify the economy, which includes health care, music, finance, automotive manufacturing and tourism.

Officeholders

As of October 2026, Governor Bill Lee and US Senators Marsha Blackburn and Bill Hagerty are all Republicans.

2026 elections

Tennessee's November 3, 2026 ballot includes a US Senate race and the governor's race, elections in all nine US House districts, and Amendments 1, 2 and 3.

Ballot measures

ContestLeaderRatingTruthIndex™ PolymarketKalshiSpread24h7 daysVolumeTrend
Tennessee: Amendment 2
Yes
Yes Likely Yes 84.0%
Kalshi only
– 84.0% – 0.0 0.0 3.1K
Tennessee: Amendment 3
Yes
Yes Likely Yes 88.5%
Kalshi only
– 88.5% – 0.0 0.0 3.0K
Tennessee: Amendment 1
Yes
Yes Likely Yes 88.5%
Kalshi only
– 88.5% – −0.5 −1.5 211