US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Alabama Governor.
GUNTERSVILLE, Ala.: With the Alabama General Election less than three weeks away, Sen. Tommy Tuberville kicked off a series of appearances across North
TubervilleAlabama’s next governor will inherit a gambling debate that has repeatedly produced proposals, negotiations, and industry spending without a legalization breakthrough.
JonesRepublican gubernatorial nominee Sen. Tommy Tuberville says Alabama’s relationship with President Donald Trump is one reason voters should elect him governor, arguing that Trump would not offer Democratic nominee Doug…
TubervilleJonesWith both candidates supporting a much-discussed lottery, it remains to be seen which administration would be more favorable to greater gambling expansion.
TubervilleBoth candidates for governor of Alabama will be in Tuscaloosa next week, two days apart. Democrat Doug Jones takes questions at a town hall on the
Jones2. Alabama’s governor’s race is a rematch between Governor-elect National Championship-winning Coach U.S.
TubervilleJonesManufacture Alabama has also endorsed a handful of mainly Republican candidates in the state, including Tommy Tuberville for governor, Katherine Robertson for attorney general, Caroleene Dobson for secretary of state,…
TubervilleMONTGOMERY: Democratic gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones told attendees at an education town hall Tuesday evening that he wants to phase out Alabama's
JonesDemocratic gubernatorial nominee Doug Jones outlined plans to redirect education funding, increase teacher compensation and establish a statewide lottery
JonesTuberville, who is the Republican nominee for Alabama governor, faces Democratic nominee Doug Jones, former U.S. senator for Alabama, in a rematch of the 2020 Senate election, in which Tuberville won in a landslide.
JonesThe Randolph Leader reports that Alabama Supreme Court could rule on Tommy Tuberville’s gubernatorial eligibility after the election.
TubervilleMONTGOMERY, Ala. – Democratic gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones told attendees at an education town hall Tuesday evening that he wants to phase out Alabama’s CHOOSE Act for private schools, increase teacher pay,…
JonesDuring the event's question-and-answer period with Dobson, Akin stressed the importance of safeguarding elections and electing U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-Auburn) as Alabama's next governor.
JonesVoters will soon head to the polls for important midterm elections that will determine control of Congress: and they’ll be deciding who will lead Alabama for the next four years.
JonesThe article discusses Alabama politics as the 2026 governor race unfolds. U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-Auburn) is a key figure in the contest to succeed the term-limited governor.
TubervilleThe article discusses the Alabama gubernatorial race alongside Tennessee's, noting that both states are replacing term-limited Republican governors (Alabama’s Kay Ivey, Tennessee’s Bill Lee) with Republican nominees who…
TubervilleDoug Jones held an education-focused town hall in Montgomery, Alabama. During the event, a teacher tearfully questioned how Jones would defend teachers accused of indoctrination, a criticism echoed by his Republican…
TubervilleThe Alabama Supreme Court’s Oct. 9 ruling in the Tuberville residency case narrows opportunities to challenge Tommy Tuberville’s eligibility.
TubervilleNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTommy Tuberville | 93.5% | 93.6% | 93.4% | 0.2 pts | – | |
| DDoug Jones | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 0.9 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Doug Jones, a Democrat and former U.S. attorney who represented Alabama in the Senate from 2018 to 2021, is his party's 2026 nominee for governor of Alabama.
Tommy Tuberville, a former college football head coach who has represented Alabama in the U.S. Senate since 2021, is the Republican nominee for governor of Alabama in 2026.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Alabama Governor margin of victory
| Tuberville, 1+ pts | 91.0% | |
| Tuberville, 4+ pts | 81.0% | |
| Tuberville, 7+ pts | 66.5% | |
| Tuberville, 10+ pts | 49.0% | |
| Tuberville, 13+ pts | 32.0% | |
| Tuberville, 16+ pts | 18.0% | |
| Tuberville, 19+ pts | 6.2% | |
| Tuberville, 22+ pts | 7.3% implied | |
| Tuberville, 25+ pts | 5.3% implied | |
| Tuberville, 28+ pts | 4.6% implied | |
| Tuberville, 31+ pts | 4.5% implied |
Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 6.7% | |
| Republican 0-5% | – | |
| Republican 5-10% | 32.0% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 35.5% | |
| Republican 15-20% | 13.5% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 4.6% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 4.0% | |
| Republican 30%+ | 4.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Tommy Tuberville: Counted · bid 93.1% / ask 94.1% · $2.4K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Tommy Tuberville: Counted · bid 93.0% / ask 93.8% · $3.9K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Tommy Tuberville
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Alabama pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
