US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for AL-07 House.
Topic: Behn and Van Epps launch new ads in Tennessee’s 7th District special election, with analysis from a Progressive pollster on best-case scenarios for Aftyn Behn.
Audacious is how we’d describe Republican Alexander Hale’s campaign for the 7th Congressional District. He has stepped up and challenged U.S. Rep. Lizzie Fletcher, a popular four-term Democrat, in a safely blue seat.
The page covers Ryan Elijah and Dalton (for Florida’s 7th District) and their run for the U.S. House seat after Cory Mills’ primary loss.
Topic: Ohio’s 6th Congressional District (OH-06) House race coverage in Cleveland Jewish News.
LattaAkinIn Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District race, U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures (D) disputes Republican contender Rhett Marques’s claim that Figures’ farm bill vote harmed Alabama farmers, calling the accusation misleading.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DTerri Sewell | 97.9% | 97.8% | 99.1% | 1.3 pts | – | |
| RAmmie Akin | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Ammie Akin, an educator, is the Republican nominee for Alabama's 7th congressional district in 2026 after winning the special Republican primary, and faces Democratic incumbent Terri Sewell in the general election.
Terri Sewell, a Democrat who has represented Alabama's 7th congressional district since 2011 and is the first African-American woman elected to Congress from Alabama, faces Republican Ammie Akin, an educator, in 2026.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
| Sewell, 12+ pts | 96.7% | |
| Sewell, 15+ pts | 95.7% | |
| Sewell, 18+ pts | 94.5% | |
| Sewell, 21+ pts | 70.5% | |
| Sewell, 24+ pts | 65.0% implied | |
| Sewell, 27+ pts | 58.0% implied | |
| Sewell, 30+ pts | 51.0% implied | |
| Sewell, 33+ pts | 42.0% | |
| Sewell, 36+ pts | 31.0% | |
| Sewell, 39+ pts | 19.5% | |
| Sewell, 42+ pts | 10.9% | |
| Sewell, 45+ pts | 4.3% |
AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 0.1% | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 0.2% | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 1.8% | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 7.3% | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 8.0% | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 19.5% | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 28.5% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 21.5% | |
| Democrat 40%+ | 12.7% |
Prices which party wins.
Terri Sewell: Counted · bid 97.3% / ask 98.3% · $4.2K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Terri Sewell: Counted · bid 98.4% / ask 99.8% · $491 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Terri Sewell
If the House member sworn in for AL-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
