US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for CA-02 House.
Jared Huffman (CA-02) has concerns about a bipartisan House- and Senate-backed permitting reform bill.
HuffmanThe article discusses MarinHealth Measure CC, a local tax proposal in Marin County that would impose a 14-cent tax on ER visits. Supporters, including emergency physician Jason Ruben, U.S. Rep.
HuffmanThe opinion piece argues that other Democrats, including Rep. Jared Huffman (California, CA-2), should accept compromise on an energy bill rather than hold out for a more favorable deal when they likely gain control of…
HuffmanRepresentative Jared Huffman (CA-02) has publicly opposed expanding reef protections proposed by the Ecological Advisory Committee (EAC) for Bolinas, urging the Fish and Game Commission to withdraw the petition.
HuffmanTopic: United States Supreme Court consideration of how National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) reviews interact with other federal environmental statutes.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJared Huffman | 98.4% | 98.1% | 98.9% | 0.8 pts | – | |
| RRobin Littau | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Jared Huffman, a Democrat who has represented California's 2nd congressional district since 2013 and previously served in the California State Assembly, faces Republican Robin Littau, an Enterprise Elementary School Board trustee, in 2026.
Robin Littau, an Enterprise Elementary School Board trustee, is the Republican candidate for California's 2nd congressional district in 2026, facing Democratic incumbent Jared Huffman in the November general election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
California's 2nd District margin of victory
| Huffman, 22+ pts | 95.0% | |
| Huffman, 25+ pts | 91.6% | |
| Huffman, 28+ pts | 83.0% | |
| Huffman, 31+ pts | 71.0% | |
| Huffman, 34+ pts | 56.0% | |
| Huffman, 37+ pts | 39.0% | |
| Huffman, 40+ pts | 24.0% | |
| Huffman, 43+ pts | 12.3% | |
| Huffman, 46+ pts | 5.5% |
Prices which party wins.
Jared Huffman: Counted · bid 96.5% / ask 99.7% · $1.7K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Jared Huffman: Counted · bid 97.9% / ask 99.9% · $830 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Jared Huffman
If the House member sworn in for CA-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
