US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for IL-03 House.
The article covers Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez of New Mexico saying he does not support the newly introduced Reimagining Safety Act, a bill drafted by Democratic Rep. Delia Ramirez of Illinois (IL-03).
Bio Office sought: 3rd Congressional District Party: Republican City: Wheaton Age: 50 Previous offices held: Village Trustee and Village Communications
Delia Ramirez unveils an immigration reform resolution in the U.S. House, introduced with input from advocates and community members.
RamirezThe page appears to discuss who is running for the U.S. House in the Chicago area for the 2026 midterms, including information on candidates and elections in various districts.
Delia Ramírez (IL-03) advocates for comprehensive immigration reform with a path to citizenship.
RamirezIllinois Rep. Delia Ramirez (IL-03) has introduced the “Reimagining Safety Act,” a bill to abolish the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and create a Cabinet-level Department of Community Safety.
RamirezNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDelia Ramirez | 96.1% | 95.9% | 96.5% | 0.6 pts | – | |
| RAngel Oakley | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.3 pts | – |
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Angel Oakley, a Republican cannabis business consultant who ran as a write-in candidate in 2024, faces Democratic incumbent Delia Ramirez in the 2026 election for Illinois's 3rd congressional district.
Delia Ramirez, a Democrat who has represented Illinois's 3rd congressional district since 2023, is seeking re-election in 2026 against Republican Angel Oakley, a cannabis business consultant.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory
| Ramirez, 30+ pts | 91.5% | |
| Ramirez, 33+ pts | 81.0% | |
| Ramirez, 36+ pts | 71.5% | |
| Ramirez, 39+ pts | 61.0% | |
| Ramirez, 42+ pts | 51.0% | |
| Ramirez, 45+ pts | 40.0% | |
| Ramirez, 48+ pts | 30.0% | |
| Ramirez, 51+ pts | 20.0% | |
| Ramirez, 54+ pts | 9.9% |
IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 0.5% | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 0.8% | |
| Democrat 20-30% | – | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 2.9% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 24.3% | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 30.9% | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 22.8% | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 17.0% | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 3.2% | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 0.4% |
Prices which party wins.
Delia Ramirez: Counted · bid 94.4% / ask 97.4% · $1.5K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Delia Ramirez: Counted · bid 93.9% / ask 99.1% · $605 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Delia Ramirez
If the House member sworn in for IL-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
