US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for IN-09 House.
The article covers the race for Ohio House District 19, featuring candidates Ed Hargate and Nicole Sigurdson vying to succeed incumbent Rep. Phillip Robinson (D-Solon).
HouchinDulaneyShaverThe article covers the race for Tennessee’s newly drawn 9th Congressional District (TN-9), focusing on Republican Brent Taylor and Democrat Justin Pearson as primary contenders.
The article reports that Rep. Justin Pearson, a Democrat from Memphis, will remain in the race for Tennessee’s newly drawn 9th Congressional District (TN-09) despite redistricting.
PearsonAnabilah-AzumahMeyerThe article covers the race for Ohio House District 35 between Republican Vik Sandhu and Democrat Samantha Salamon.
The provided page is a State Affairs Pro article titled “The Redistricting Wars, ranked,” dated Oct 28, 2025, and mentions redistricting battles across states (CA, IL, IN, plus six others).
The CBS Chicago article covers former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean seeking to return to Congress in Illinois’ 8th District, challenging Republican Jennifer Davis.
The page appears to discuss who is running for the U.S. House in the Chicago area for the 2026 midterms, including information on candidates and elections in various districts.
The article targets Derek Merrin’s campaign behavior in Ohio’s 9th Congressional District (OH-09), contrasting him with Rep. Marcy Kaptur.
The article covers a debate for Indiana House District 69 in Seymour. Republican incumbent Jim Lucas and Independent Tyler Henkle debated at Seymour High School; Democratic candidate Chris Bowen did not participate.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RErin Houchin | 96.5% | 96.8% | 96.2% | 0.5 pts | – | |
| DBrad Meyer | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.1 pts | – |
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Brad Meyer, a retired civil engineer, is the Democratic nominee for Indiana's 9th congressional district in 2026, where he faces Republican incumbent Erin Houchin in the November general election.
Erin Houchin, a Republican who has represented Indiana's 9th congressional district since 2023 and previously served in the Indiana Senate, seeks re-election in 2026 against Democrat Brad Meyer, a retired civil engineer.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Indiana's 9th District margin of victory
| Houchin, 12+ pts | 90.7% | |
| Houchin, 15+ pts | 82.5% | |
| Houchin, 18+ pts | 72.5% | |
| Houchin, 21+ pts | 59.5% | |
| Houchin, 24+ pts | 43.5% | |
| Houchin, 27+ pts | 28.5% | |
| Houchin, 30+ pts | 16.5% | |
| Houchin, 33+ pts | 7.8% | |
| Houchin, 36+ pts | 3.9% |
IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 1.0% | |
| Republican 0-10% | 1.0% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 5.5% | |
| Republican 15-20% | – | |
| Republican 20-25% | 26.5% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 17.5% | |
| Republican 30-35% | – | |
| Republican 35-40% | 5.1% | |
| Republican 40%+ | 1.6% |
Prices which party wins.
Erin Houchin: Counted · bid 95.4% / ask 98.1% · $1.6K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Erin Houchin: Counted · bid 94.6% / ask 97.9% · $1.1K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Erin Houchin
If the House member sworn in for IN-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
