House · 3 November 2026

MA-07 House 2026

98.2% DAyanna Pressley leads TruthIndex™Safe D

Polymarket: 98.2%
Kalshi: 98.3%
Spread: 0.1 pts
24h: –
7 days: +0.4
Updated: Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for MA-07 House.

2 stories this week

Top story

Press Release: Pressley Condemns Omar Home Raid, Criticizes Trump Agenda

You can track bills proposed by Ayanna Pressley on Quiver Quantitative's politician page for Pressley.

Quiver Quantitative22h ago

Pressley

Yesterday
Pressley Condemns Attacks on Rep. Omar, Blasts Trump for Fascist, Anti-Freedom Agenda - Ayanna Pressley
CAMBRIDGE – During a media availability, Congresswoman Ayanna Pressley (MA-07) condemned Donald Trump’s baseless attacks on Congresswoman Ilhan Omar (MN-05) after federal authorities raided her home this week and…

pressley.house.govOfficialYesterdayPressley

Ayanna Pressley, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

All outcomes

Outcome	TruthIndex™		Polymarket	Kalshi	Spread	24h
DAyanna Pressley	98.2%		98.2%	98.3%	0.1 pts	–
RRepublican Party	1.8%		1.8%	1.8%	0.1 pts	–

Polymarket Kalshi

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<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/house/ma-07/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=house-ma-07">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

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Candidates & Background

Ayanna Pressley

Democratic U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 7th congressional district (since 2019)

Ayanna Pressley, a Democrat who has represented Massachusetts's 7th congressional district since 2019 and earlier served as an at-large Boston city councilor, is her party's nominee for re-election in 2026.

Born 1974 · Cincinnati, Ohio

Full candidate profile →

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi13.0K contracts

Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory

Pressley, 55+ pts		95.5% implied
Pressley, 58+ pts		96.3% implied
Pressley, 61+ pts		95.8% implied
Pressley, 64+ pts		95.5% implied
Pressley, 67+ pts		97.5%
Pressley, 70+ pts		97.6%
Pressley, 73+ pts		97.4%
Pressley, 76+ pts		95.6% implied
Pressley, 79+ pts		95.6% implied

Source: Kalshi market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$36.5K traded

Prices which party wins.

Ayanna Pressley: Counted · bid 97.2% / ask 99.1% · $707 within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi277 contracts traded