US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for OH-03 House.
The article profiles U.S. Representative Emilia Sykes (D-Akron), incumbent in Ohio’s 13th District, who is running for reelection against Republican Carey Coleman.
SykesKnickerbocker
ClarkDulaneyThe article covers the race for Ohio House District 19, featuring candidates Ed Hargate and Nicole Sigurdson vying to succeed incumbent Rep. Phillip Robinson (D-Solon).
HouchinDulaneyShaverThe page discusses Ohio’s new congressional map in the context of State Affairs Pro’s coverage, with Gongwer Ohio reporting on evolving political implications.
The article covers the race for Ohio House District 31 between Democrat J. Noah Spinner and Republican Mike Kahoe, focusing on issues like property taxes and data centers as central to the contest to succeed Bill Roemer.
The page covers the Ohio House District 11 race featuring incumbent Democrat Crystal Lett (Columbus) seeking a second term versus Republican challenger Shawn Kaeser, a school teacher.
President Donald Trump invoked his executive privilege in the lawsuit his administration is facing over the Kennedy Center from Rep. Joyce Beatty (D-OH).
BeattyRep. Scott Eugene DesJarlais (R-TN-04) – C [...] Rep. Janelle Bynum (D-OR-05) – C
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BentzKurdianDavid Edwards has spent over a decade reporting on social justice, human rights and politics for Raw Story. He also writes Crooks and Liars.
BeattyPresident Trump has officially invoked executive privilege to protect a selection of records from Democrat Rep. Joyce Beatty of Ohio amid her legal challenge regarding the closure of the Kennedy Center for renovations.
BeattyNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJoyce Beatty | 97.9% | 97.4% | 98.6% | 1.1 pts | – | |
| RCleophus Dulaney | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.1 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Cleophus Dulaney, a Republican who was a candidate for Ohio's 3rd congressional district in 2020, is his party's 2026 nominee for the seat against Democratic incumbent Joyce Beatty.
Joyce Beatty, a Democrat who has represented Ohio's 3rd congressional district since 2013 and chaired the Congressional Black Caucus from 2021 to 2023, faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in her 2026 bid for re-election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Ohio's 3rd District margin of victory
| Beatty, 34+ pts | 92.3% | |
| Beatty, 37+ pts | 82.5% | |
| Beatty, 40+ pts | 75.5% | |
| Beatty, 43+ pts | 66.5% | |
| Beatty, 46+ pts | 55.5% | |
| Beatty, 49+ pts | 44.5% | |
| Beatty, 52+ pts | 33.5% | |
| Beatty, 55+ pts | 22.5% | |
| Beatty, 58+ pts | 10.8% |
OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 3.0% | |
| Democrat 0-25% | 4.8% | |
| Democrat 25-35% | 0.1% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 4.5% | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 20.0% | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 27.8% | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 21.0% | |
| Democrat 55-60% | – | |
| Democrat 60-65% | 3.6% | |
| Democrat 65%+ | 0.9% |
Prices which party wins.
Joyce Beatty: Counted · bid 96.7% / ask 98.2% · $532 within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Joyce Beatty: Counted · bid 97.4% / ask 99.7% · $316 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Joyce Beatty
If the House member sworn in for OH-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
