US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for OH-06 House.
The article covers the race for Ohio House District 31 between Democrat J. Noah Spinner and Republican Mike Kahoe, focusing on issues like property taxes and data centers as central to the contest to succeed Bill Roemer.
The page covers a rematch for Ohio House District 36 between incumbent Republican Rep. Andrea White (Kettering) and Democrat Rose Lounsbury.
The article reports that Ohio officials aim to have a new U.S. House map finalized by Thanksgiving to keep the state’s election schedule on track.
The page covers a political race in Ohio’s House districts, specifically House District 17, featuring Rep. Mike Dovilla (R-Berea) and Democrat Megan Coy.
Topic: Ohio’s 6th Congressional District (OH-06) House race coverage in Cleveland Jewish News.
LattaAkinNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMichael Rulli | 96.8% | 96.8% | 97.0% | 0.3 pts | – | |
| DElizabeth Kirtley | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.1 pts | – |
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Elizabeth Kirtley, a freelance writer and Democrat, is her party's 2026 nominee for Ohio's 6th congressional district, where she faces Republican incumbent Michael Rulli in the general election.
Michael Rulli, a Republican businessman who has represented Ohio's 6th congressional district since 2024 after serving in the Ohio Senate, faces Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in his 2026 bid for re-election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Ohio's 6th District margin of victory
| Rulli, 10+ pts | 95.3% | |
| Rulli, 13+ pts | 92.3% | |
| Rulli, 16+ pts | 84.5% | |
| Rulli, 19+ pts | 73.5% | |
| Rulli, 22+ pts | 59.5% | |
| Rulli, 25+ pts | 44.5% | |
| Rulli, 28+ pts | 29.5% | |
| Rulli, 31+ pts | 17.5% | |
| Rulli, 34+ pts | 8.6% | |
| Rulli, 37+ pts | 7.9% implied | |
| Rulli, 40+ pts | 5.1% |
OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 4.4% | |
| Republican 0-10% | 2.6% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 5.7% | |
| Republican 15-20% | 16.0% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 24.5% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 25.5% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 21.5% | |
| Republican 35-40% | 6.5% | |
| Republican 40%+ | 3.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Michael Rulli: Counted · bid 95.2% / ask 98.3% · $1.3K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Michael Rulli: Counted · bid 96.2% / ask 97.9% · $620 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Michael Rulli
If the House member sworn in for OH-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
