US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for VA-06 House.
Beth Macy is the subject of a reader letter urging voters to support her in the Virginia-06 House race, contrasting her with Ben Cline who is marketed as the “common sense” choice and labeling Macy as the “crazy”…
MacyThe opinion piece argues that voting for Representative Ben Cline (VA-06) equates to voting for national decline.
ClineBeth Macy in VA-06: The page is part of a “Meet the Candidates” series by WHSV, featuring an interview/profile of Beth Macy, a candidate in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District race.
MacyCline is portrayed as pro-data center, voting for tax breaks in 2008, 2010, and 2016, and supporting Trump’s 2025 budget provisions that benefited data centers.
ClineBen Cline (R) campaigns for VA-06, portraying the race as a high-stakes fight. At a Rockingham fundraiser, Cline framed opponents as “socialist barbarians” and focused on defending the Constitution and returning to…
ClineThe article “Countdown: Showing Up. Doing the work.” from Daily Kos highlights local political activity and candidate efforts in Michigan, listing several candidates and groups involved in upcoming elections.
The Rocktown Now article covers a GOP event “Oysters with Obenshain” featuring U.S. Rep. Ben Cline, Senate candidate Bert Mizusawa, and former Attorney General Jason Miyares.
In the 6th Congressional District (Winchester to Roanoke), incumbent Republican Ben Cline and challenger Beth Macy are both proposing a moratorium or pause on data centers as part of their campaigns.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
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Ben Cline, a Republican who has represented Virginia's 6th congressional district since 2019 and earlier served 16 years in the Virginia House of Delegates, faces Democrat Beth Macy, an author and journalist, in 2026.
Beth Macy, a journalist and author of books including Dopesick, is the Democratic nominee for Virginia's 6th congressional district in 2026, facing Republican incumbent Ben Cline in the November general election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Virginia's 6th District margin of victory
| Cline, 3+ pts | 93.8% | |
| Cline, 6+ pts | 91.9% | |
| Cline, 9+ pts | 83.5% | |
| Cline, 12+ pts | 69.5% | |
| Cline, 15+ pts | 54.5% | |
| Cline, 18+ pts | 37.5% | |
| Cline, 21+ pts | 23.5% | |
| Cline, 24+ pts | 12.8% | |
| Cline, 27+ pts | 5.9% |
Virginia's 6th District margin of victory
| Macy, 3+ pts | 5.6% implied | |
| Macy, 6+ pts | 4.9% implied | |
| Macy, 9+ pts | 4.6% implied | |
| Macy, 12+ pts | 4.5% implied | |
| Macy, 15+ pts | 4.5% implied | |
| Macy, 18+ pts | 4.5% implied |
Prices which party wins.
Ben Cline: Counted · bid 93.0% / ask 94.0% · $16.7K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Ben Cline: Counted · bid 92.5% / ask 93.7% · $6.2K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Ben Cline
If the House member sworn in for VA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
