Virginia 2026 elections
Virginia, the Old Dominion, elects a US senator and all eleven of its US House members on November 3, 2026, and votes on three ballot questions.
LadyofHats with additional editing by 痛 and Patrickneil / Charles Keck, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons- Capital
- Richmond
- Largest city
- Virginia Beach
- Population
- 8.88M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 10th state (June 25, 1788)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VA-01 House | DShannon Taylor | Toss-up | 56.1% | 58.0% | 55.5% | 3.5 pts | +2.2 | +0.9 | 334.2K | ||
| VA-05 House | RJohn McGuire | Lean R | 71.5% | 70.5% | 72.5% | 2.0 pts | −3.4 | −6.0 | 344.7K | ||
| VA-02 House | DElaine Luria | Likely D | 86.5% | 87.5% | 85.5% | 2.0 pts | +0.6 | −0.5 | 280.2K | ||
| VA-06 House | RBen Cline | Safe R | 93.4% | 93.5% | 93.1% | 0.6 pts | −0.1 | +1.3 | 176.9K | ||
| VA-03 House | DBobby Scott | Safe D | 96.4% | 95.2% | 98.3% | 3.0 pts | −0.6 | 0.0 | 69.7K | ||
| VA-08 House | DDon Beyer | Safe D | 96.6% | 96.0% | 97.1% | 1.1 pts | −0.4 | −0.4 | 55.3K | ||
| VA-09 House | RMorgan Griffith | Safe R | 97.0% | 96.8% | 97.7% | 0.9 pts | 0.0 | −0.1 | 75.5K | ||
| VA-11 House | DJames Walkinshaw | Safe D | 97.2% | 97.2% | 97.3% | 0.1 pts | 0.0 | +1.2 | 33.7K | ||
| VA-07 House | DEugene Vindman | Safe D | 97.3% | 97.0% | 97.4% | 0.4 pts | +0.6 | +2.6 | 57.4K | ||
| VA-10 House | DSuhas Subramanyam | Safe D | 97.3% | 97.5% | 97.1% | 0.5 pts | +0.4 | +1.0 | 12.7K | ||
| VA-04 House | DJennifer McClellan | Safe D | 98.2% | 97.9% | 98.8% | 0.9 pts | +0.5 | +0.4 | 51.9K |
House seats Democrats win in Virginia
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Kalshi241.8K contracts
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?
| Below 6 | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 9.8% | |
| 7 | 29.5% | |
| 8 | 34.0% | |
| 9 | 24.5% | |
| 10 | 2.8% | |
| 11 | 0.1% implied |
Polymarket$11.3K traded
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?
| <5 | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 12.5% | |
| 7 | 30.5% | |
| 8 | 34.5% | |
| 9+ | 25.5% |
Political landscape in Virginia
Overview
Virginia, formally a commonwealth, stretches from the Atlantic shore west to the Appalachians within the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, bordering Kentucky, Tennessee, North Carolina, West Virginia and Maryland. With about 8.8 million people it is 12th in population and 15th in density. Richmond is the capital and Virginia Beach the largest city, while Northern Virginia, including Fairfax County, holds more than a third of residents. The Shenandoah Valley contains the most productive farm counties, Northern Virginia's economy rests on technology firms and federal agencies, and Hampton Roads hosts Naval Station Norfolk. The London Company founded the Colony of Virginia in 1607, the earliest lasting English settlement in the Americas. Virginia ratified the Constitution on June 25, 1788, as the tenth state; during the Civil War it joined the Confederacy, and its northwestern counties split off to form West Virginia in 1863. The General Assembly, founded in 1619, is the oldest continuing legislature in North America.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, Governor Abigail Spanberger and US Senators Mark Warner and Tim Kaine are all Democrats.
2026 elections
Virginia's November 3, 2026 ballot includes a US Senate race, elections in all eleven US House districts, and three ballot questions, the first concerning reproductive freedom.
Ballot measures
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia: Question 1 (reproductive freedom) Yes |
Yes | Likely Yes | 89.5% | 89.5% | 91.3% | 1.8 pts | −1.0 | −1.4 | 8.9K | ||
| Virginia: Question 2 Yes |
Yes | Safe Yes | 93.5% Kalshi only |
– | 93.5% | – | 0.0 | −0.5 | 0 | ||
| Virginia: Question 3 Yes |
Yes | Safe Yes | 95.5% Kalshi only |
– | 95.5% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.9K |