US Midterms 2026
Type two letters or more. Arrow keys move through the results, Enter opens one, Esc closes.
Recent coverage for FL-20 House.
The article notes that Florida’s newly redrawn 20th Congressional District is poised to elect its first non-African American representative since 1992. Democratic Rep.
“She is everything that’s wrong with the broken unpopular Democratic establishment. … I look forward to retiring her from public office permanently,” he told the statewide media outlet.
Florida's newly redrawn 20th Congressional District will soon elect its first non-African-American representative since 1992. The Democratic nominee, Rep.
SchultzFlorida's newly redrawn 20th Congressional District will soon elect its first non-African-American representative since 1992. The Democratic nominee, Rep.
SchultzSchultzThe article profiles Todd Schaefer, a retired Navy veteran and realtor, who is running for U.S. House of Representatives in Florida’s 4th Congressional District in the November 3 general election.
The article discusses housing affordability becoming a primary issue in Florida’s 20th Congressional District race.
The article discusses the Florida House race in the 14th District in which Democrat Kathy Castor is defending her seat against challenger Mike Beltran, a lawyer and former Republican state representative.
The article compares the two candidates running for Florida’s 12th Congressional District (covering Hillsborough and Pasco counties) in the U.S. House.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDebbie Wasserman Schultz | 97.3% | 97.4% | 97.0% | 0.4 pts | – | |
| RBrent Andersen | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
X opens with your text; you can edit it there before posting.
Brent Andersen, a businessman, is the Republican nominee for Florida's vacant 20th congressional district seat in 2026, facing Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, the U.S. representative for the 25th district.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz, a Democrat who has served in the U.S. House since 2005 and chaired the Democratic National Committee from 2011 to 2016, is running for Florida's vacant 20th district seat in 2026 against Republican Brent Andersen.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Florida's 20th District margin of victory
| Schultz, 31+ pts | 97.0% | |
| Schultz, 34+ pts | 95.8% | |
| Schultz, 37+ pts | 93.5% | |
| Schultz, 40+ pts | 88.1% | |
| Schultz, 43+ pts | 78.0% | |
| Schultz, 46+ pts | 46.0% implied | |
| Schultz, 49+ pts | 38.0% implied | |
| Schultz, 52+ pts | 28.0% | |
| Schultz, 55+ pts | 16.5% | |
| Schultz, 58+ pts | 6.7% |
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 0.5% | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 4.5% | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 2.8% | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 2.9% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 8.3% | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 13.5% | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 24.5% | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 14.5% | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 13.8% | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 1.7% |
Prices which party wins.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz: Counted · bid 97.1% / ask 97.8% · $990 within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz: Counted · bid 96.6% / ask 97.5% · $753 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Debbie Wasserman Schultz
If the House member sworn in for FL-20 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
