US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for NC-02 House.
Deborah Ross (NC-02) reacts to foiled attack on a Hindu temple in Illinois, expressing horror and relief that Representative Raja Krishnamoorthi and his family are safe.
Deborah Ross (NC-02) commented on the Illinois Hindu temple attack plot, expressing horror at the attempted mass shooting and relief that Krishnamoorthi and his family were safe.
RossThe article discusses trucking groups seeking bipartisan congressional support ahead of the midterms.
RossDeborah Ross (D-NC) is highlighted in the article as a U.S. Representative from North Carolina’s 2nd district who supported the PREVAIL Act and participated in the broader Congressional engagement surrounding the…
RossNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDeborah Ross | 98.6% | 98.8% | 98.4% | 0.5 pts | – | |
| REugene Douglass | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Deborah Ross, a Democrat who has represented North Carolina's 2nd congressional district since 2021, seeks re-election in 2026 against Republican Eugene Douglass and Libertarian Matt Laszacs.
Eugene Douglass is a Republican candidate for the US House in North Carolina's 2nd congressional district (NC-02) in 2026.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
North Carolina's 2nd District margin of victory
| Ross, 28+ pts | 94.8% | |
| Ross, 31+ pts | 90.0% | |
| Ross, 34+ pts | 82.5% | |
| Ross, 37+ pts | 69.0% implied | |
| Ross, 40+ pts | 60.5% | |
| Ross, 43+ pts | 39.0% implied | |
| Ross, 46+ pts | 24.0% | |
| Ross, 49+ pts | 15.0% | |
| Ross, 52+ pts | 6.5% |
NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 2.1% | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 0.1% | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 5.0% | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 5.1% | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 6.0% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | – | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 22.7% | |
| Democrat 45-50% | – | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 11.5% | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 4.7% |
Prices which party wins.
Deborah Ross: Counted · bid 98.8% / ask 98.9% · $2.3K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Deborah Ross: Counted · bid 96.9% / ask 99.8% · $2.9K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Deborah Ross
If the House member sworn in for NC-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
