US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for NJ-01 House.
Donald Norcross, the NJ-01 Democrat and union electrician, championed the Faster Labor Contracts Act, which the House approved 230-193 with bipartisan support (including 20 Republicans).
NorcrossJoe Courtney (D-CT) is a sponsor of the bipartisan Parity Enforcement Act (H.R. 957), reintroduced in February 2025, aimed at expanding the Department of Labor’s statutory enforcement authority for mental health parity.
Candidatura en Pensilvania (PA-02): Jessica Arriaga, puertorriqueña nacida en North Philadelphia, es la rival republicana de Boyle en las elecciones de medio término.
The article highlights New Jersey labor leaders Charles Wowkanech and Laurel Brennan testifying in support of state labor officials, including Acting Commissioner of Labor Kevin Jarvis and Acting Chair/CEO Mary Cruz of…
NorcrossThe article highlights U.S. Representative Donald Norcross (NJ-01), a longtime labor advocate, stressing the importance of skilled trades and adaptable, AI-ready education.
NorcrossThe article reports on Rowan University’s new partnership with Union Plus to expand affordable higher education opportunities. The signing ceremony featured key figures including Rep.
NorcrossNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDonald Norcross | 96.1% | 96.0% | 97.1% | 1.1 pts | – | |
| RDamon Galdo | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6 pts | – |
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Damon Galdo, a Republican construction worker who ran for the seat in 2022 and 2024, is his party's nominee for New Jersey's 1st congressional district in 2026 against Democratic incumbent Donald Norcross.
Donald Norcross, a Democrat and former labor leader who has represented New Jersey's 1st congressional district since 2014, seeks re-election in 2026 against Republican Damon Galdo, a construction worker.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
New Jersey's 1st District margin of victory
| Norcross, 15+ pts | 96.8% | |
| Norcross, 18+ pts | 95.9% | |
| Norcross, 21+ pts | 93.3% | |
| Norcross, 24+ pts | 86.3% | |
| Norcross, 27+ pts | 75.0% | |
| Norcross, 30+ pts | 60.5% | |
| Norcross, 33+ pts | 44.5% | |
| Norcross, 36+ pts | 29.5% | |
| Norcross, 39+ pts | 16.5% | |
| Norcross, 42+ pts | 7.6% |
NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 3.1% | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 3.6% | |
| Democrat 5-15% | 4.1% | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 2.4% | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 12.0% | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 28.5% | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 26.5% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 16.0% | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 11.8% | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 0.4% |
Prices which party wins.
Donald Norcross: Counted · bid 95.1% / ask 96.8% · $3.5K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Donald Norcross: Counted · bid 96.3% / ask 97.9% · $550 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Donald Norcross
If the House member sworn in for NJ-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
