New Jersey 2026 elections
New Jersey, which has the highest population density of any state, elects a US senator and all twelve of its US House members in the November 3, 2026 midterms.
author of xrmap, with modifications by Denelson83 and ChrisRuvolo, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons- Capital
- Trenton
- Largest city
- Newark
- Population
- 9.55M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 3rd state (December 18, 1787)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ-02 House | RJeff Van Drew | Likely R | 83.3% | 83.5% | 83.0% | 1.5 pts | +0.1 | +3.0 | 79.2K | ||
| NJ-07 House | DRebecca Bennett | Safe D | 91.0% | 91.0% | 91.1% | 0.4 pts | 0.0 | +0.3 | 269.0K | ||
| NJ-11 House | DAnalilia Mejia | Safe D | 95.9% | 95.5% | 96.6% | 1.1 pts | 0.0 | +0.2 | 65.2K | ||
| NJ-01 House | DDonald Norcross | Safe D | 96.1% | 96.0% | 97.1% | 1.1 pts | −0.3 | −0.1 | 56.7K | ||
| NJ-08 House | DRob Menendez | Safe D | 96.2% | 95.5% | 97.6% | 2.1 pts | 0.0 | +0.1 | 53.1K | ||
| NJ-05 House | DJosh Gottheimer | Safe D | 96.6% | 96.2% | 96.6% | 0.4 pts | +0.1 | −0.2 | 39.1K | ||
| NJ-09 House | DNellie Pou | Safe D | 96.7% | 96.5% | 96.8% | 1.1 pts | 0.0 | +0.1 | 55.1K | ||
| NJ-06 House | DFrank Pallone | Safe D | 97.0% | 96.4% | 97.4% | 1.0 pts | 0.0 | +1.5 | 35.7K | ||
| NJ-04 House | RChris Smith | Safe R | 97.3% | 97.4% | 97.3% | 0.1 pts | +0.5 | +2.0 | 23.3K | ||
| NJ-03 House | DHerb Conaway | Safe D | 97.4% | 97.5% | 97.3% | 0.3 pts | −0.3 | +0.1 | 46.4K | ||
| NJ-12 House | DAdam Hamawy | Safe D | 97.4% | 97.0% | 97.8% | 1.0 pts | +0.4 | +1.4 | 42.2K | ||
| NJ-10 House | DLaMonica McIver | Safe D | 98.2% Kalshi only |
– | 98.2% | 0.2 pts | 0.0 | −0.1 | 60.1K |
House seats Democrats win in New Jersey
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Kalshi39.8K contracts
How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey?
| Below 8 | 1.0% implied | |
| 8 | 5.0% implied | |
| 9 | 7.0% | |
| 10 | 73.5% | |
| Above 10 | 15.0% |
Polymarket$14.1K traded
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
| <8 | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 4.1% | |
| 9 | 8.5% | |
| 10 | 71.5% | |
| 11+ | 18.0% |
Political landscape in New Jersey
Overview
New Jersey lies at the center of the urbanized Northeast corridor, bordered by New York State to the north, the Atlantic Ocean to the east and south, Pennsylvania across the Delaware River to the west, and Delaware across Delaware Bay to the southwest. It is fifth-smallest by land area and 11th in population, with more than 9.5 million residents in 2025, and it is the most densely settled state. Trenton is the capital and Newark the largest city. The Lenape lived here when Dutch and Swedish colonists arrived; the British later created the Province of New Jersey, which joined the American Revolution and hosted several of its battles. New Jersey ratified the Constitution on December 18, 1787, as the third state. It became a manufacturing center after the Civil War, and its economy now spans biopharmaceuticals, information technology, finance, logistics and tourism. Median household income in 2023 was the second-highest in the nation.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, Governor Mikie Sherrill is a Democrat and the lieutenant governor's office is vacant; both US senators, Cory Booker and Andy Kim, are Democrats.
2026 elections
On November 3, 2026, New Jersey voters will decide a US Senate race and elect members in all twelve of the state's US House districts.