US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for NY-05 House.
A public exchange arose around the Colombia–United States relationship after Democratic Rep. Gregory Meeks (ranking minority member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee) commented on the issue.
MeeksGeorge Marsh scored twice as Ben Rhydding Men’s first team beat City of York 3-2 in the Yorkshire & North East Open Premier Division, with Will Musgrave also finding the net.
Gregory Meeks, the top Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, called the Colombian president Abelardo de la Espriella’s involvement in the U.S. election process “unacceptable.”
MeeksU.S. Democratic leaders, led by Gregory Meeks (ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee), criticized Colombian President Abelardo de la Espriella’s public support for Republican Congresswoman María Elvira…
MeeksU.S. Representative Gregory Meeks (ranking Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Committee) warned Colombian President Abelardo de la Espriella not to meddle in U.S. House elections.
MeeksMeeksReturns as an All-MIAA performer who helped Hope win the 200 free relay at the conference meet.
The Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association (MIAA) notes that Hope College’s George Marsh is a returning standout for the men’s swimming and diving team.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DGregory Meeks | 98.2% | 98.0% | 98.4% | 0.4 pts | – | |
| RGeorge Marsh | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4 pts | – |
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George Marsh, a Republican and former employee of the New York City Mayor's Office, is his party's nominee for New York's 5th congressional district in 2026 against Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks.
Gregory Meeks, a Democrat who has served in the U.S. House since 1998 and is ranking member of the Foreign Affairs Committee, seeks re-election in New York's 5th congressional district in 2026 against Republican George Marsh.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
New York's 5th District margin of victory
| Meeks, 41+ pts | 96.4% | |
| Meeks, 44+ pts | 94.2% | |
| Meeks, 47+ pts | 85.0% | |
| Meeks, 50+ pts | 71.5% | |
| Meeks, 53+ pts | 52.5% | |
| Meeks, 56+ pts | 33.5% | |
| Meeks, 59+ pts | 16.5% | |
| Meeks, 62+ pts | 5.8% | |
| Meeks, 65+ pts | 6.0% implied |
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 3.0% | |
| Democrat 0-30% | 3.0% | |
| Democrat 30-40% | 2.9% | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 2.2% | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 25.0% | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 44.0% | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 20.0% | |
| Democrat 60-65% | 11.4% | |
| Democrat 65-70% | 2.8% | |
| Democrat 70%+ | 0.9% |
Prices which party wins.
Gregory Meeks: Counted · bid 96.6% / ask 99.3% · $355 within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Gregory Meeks: Counted · bid 96.9% / ask 99.8% · $429 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Gregory Meeks
If the House member sworn in for NY-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
