US Midterms 2026
Type two letters or more. Arrow keys move through the results, Enter opens one, Esc closes.
Recent coverage for FL-23 House.
Lois Frankel (FL-23) is a cosponsor of H.R. 10770, the 340B Rebate Model Delay Act. The bill, introduced by Rep. Bob Bresnahan (PA), Rep. Debbie Dingell (MI), Rep. Tracey Mann (KS), and Rep.
FrankelLois Frankel helped secure federal funding for the Promise Fund, supporting three additional Promise Fund Women’s Health Centers (two in Palm Beach County and the first in Broward).
FrankelVoters statewide will also decide three constitutional amendments appearing on the Florida ballot.
The article highlights four U.S. House races in the Palm Beach and Treasure Coast area as covered by WPTV, including District 21 where James Martin (D) runs against incumbent Brian Mast (R).
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLois Frankel | 94.4% | 95.8% | 94.0% | 1.8 pts | – | |
| RDeborah Adeimy | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 0.8 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
X opens with your text; you can edit it there before posting.
Deborah Adeimy, a financial advisor who ran for Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2022 and 2024, is the Republican nominee for the 23rd district in 2026 against Democrat Lois Frankel.
Lois Frankel, a Democrat who has served in the U.S. House since 2013 and was mayor of West Palm Beach from 2003 to 2011, is running in Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2026 against Republican Deborah Adeimy.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Florida's 23rd District margin of victory
| Frankel, 2+ pts | 97.4% | |
| Frankel, 5+ pts | 96.6% | |
| Frankel, 8+ pts | 96.9% | |
| Frankel, 11+ pts | 96.5% | |
| Frankel, 14+ pts | 95.0% | |
| Frankel, 17+ pts | 91.0% | |
| Frankel, 20+ pts | 86.0% | |
| Frankel, 23+ pts | 73.5% | |
| Frankel, 26+ pts | 68.5% | |
| Frankel, 29+ pts | 52.5% | |
| Frankel, 32+ pts | 34.5% | |
| Frankel, 35+ pts | 18.5% | |
| Frankel, 38+ pts | 9.9% | |
| Frankel, 41+ pts | 5.1% |
FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 0.3% | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 0.9% | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 0.8% | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 0.5% | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 2.1% | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 25.0% | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 35.5% | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 18.1% | |
| Democrat 35%+ | 14.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Lois Frankel: Counted · bid 94.9% / ask 96.8% · $198 within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Lois Frankel: Counted · bid 91.1% / ask 96.9% · $792 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Lois Frankel
If the House member sworn in for FL-23 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
