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What Richardson residents need to know for early voting | Richardson
All 38 U.S. House seats are up for election, including the races for the District 24 and District 32 seats, which both cover parts of Richardson.
Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
House · 3 November 2026
TX-32 House 2026
- Polymarket
- 85.5%
- Kalshi
- 86.0%
- Spread
- 1.1 pts
- 24h
- –
- 7 days
- −3.1
- Updated
- Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage
Live News
Recent coverage for TX-32 House.
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U.S. Chamber Endorses Jace Yarbrough for Texas’ 32nd Congressional District on National Free Enterprise Express Opportunity Tour
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Jace Yarbrough for Texas’s 32nd Congressional District (TX-32).
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Groups supporting RFK Jr. are spending nearly $2M in Iowa governor, House races
The new spending is the most significant outlay from Kennedy-aligned groups since they helped Rep. Julia Letlow defeat Sen. Bill Cassidy in a Louisiana Republican primary in May.
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MAHA PAC and MAHA Action PAC announce Make Iowa Healthy Again Rally & Commits over $1.9 Million to Elect Zach Lahn and support Six House Candidates in Midterm Push and a Ground Game
Brandon Herrera (TX-23), health-freedom champion pressing for food-supply transparency and the restoration of informed consent.
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RFK Jr.-aligned MAHA PAC spends big on Iowa governor's race
The Hill reports that the RFK Jr.-aligned MAHA PAC is allocating substantial funds in support of political candidates, including Jace Yarbrough in Texas.
No story this week names this candidate.
Jace Yarbrough, last 60 days
How to read this chart
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in MethodologyAll outcomes
| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJace Yarbrough | 85.9% | 85.5% | 86.0% | 0.5 pts | – | |
| DDan Barrios | 14.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 1.1 pts | – |
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Candidates & Background
Dan Barrios
Democratic Member of the Richardson City Council
Dan Barrios, a Democratic member of the Richardson city council, is the party's nominee for Texas's open 32nd congressional district seat in 2026 against Republican attorney Jace Yarbrough.
Jace Yarbrough
Republican
Jace Yarbrough, a Republican attorney who ran for Texas's 30th Senate district in 2024, is the party's nominee for Texas's open 32nd congressional district seat in 2026 against Democrat Dan Barrios.
Margin of victory
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Kalshi638 contracts
Texas's 32nd District margin of victory
| Yarbrough, 3+ pts | 76.5% | |
| Yarbrough, 6+ pts | 61.5% | |
| Yarbrough, 9+ pts | 48.5% | |
| Yarbrough, 12+ pts | 38.0% | |
| Yarbrough, 15+ pts | 25.5% | |
| Yarbrough, 18+ pts | 17.5% | |
| Yarbrough, 21+ pts | 10.7% |
Polymarket$8.1K traded
TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican 21%+ | 9.5% | |
| Republican 18-21% | 9.4% | |
| Republican 15-18% | 5.0% | |
| Republican 12-15% | 17.0% | |
| Republican 9-12% | 17.3% | |
| Republican 6-9% | 20.0% | |
| Republican 3-6% | 15.4% | |
| Republican 0-3% | 4.3% | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 3.3% | |
| Democrat 3%+ | 7.0% |
Each venue's market
Polymarket$47.4K traded
Prices which party wins.
Jace Yarbrough: Counted · bid 85.0% / ask 86.0% · $3.5K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketKalshi32.0K contracts traded
Prices which party wins.
Jace Yarbrough: Counted · bid 85.0% / ask 87.0% · $27.6K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Jace Yarbrough
If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
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- TX-06 HouseR95%