Pennsylvania 2026 elections
Pennsylvania, the fifth most populous state, elects its governor on November 3, 2026, along with all 17 of its members of the US House.
Simtropolitan, Jean-Pierre Demailly (old version) permission= Insignia This image shows a flag, a coat of arms, a seal or some other official insignia. The use of such symbols is restricted in many countries. These restrictions are independent of the copyright status., public domain, via Wikimedia Commons- Capital
- Harrisburg
- Largest city
- Philadelphia
- Population
- 13.06M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 2nd state (December 12, 1787)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PA-01 House | RBrian Fitzpatrick | Lean R | 63.5% | 62.5% | 64.5% | 2.0 pts | +0.5 | +1.0 | 284.0K | ||
| PA-08 House | DPaige Cognetti | Lean D | 72.8% | 72.0% | 73.5% | 2.0 pts | +0.3 | +0.3 | 203.2K | ||
| PA-10 House | DJanelle Stelson | Likely D | 80.5% | 80.5% | 80.5% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 | +0.5 | 50.6K | ||
| PA-07 House | DBob Brooks | Likely D | 86.4% | 85.5% | 86.5% | 1.0 pts | 0.0 | −0.4 | 398.3K | ||
| PA-11 House | RLloyd Smucker | Safe R | 94.9% | 94.9% | 95.2% | 0.4 pts | −0.2 | −0.8 | 66.4K | ||
| PA-16 House | RMike Kelly | Safe R | 95.7% | 95.9% | 94.9% | 1.0 pts | +1.4 | +1.5 | 87.7K | ||
| PA-09 House | RDan Meuser | Safe R | 95.8% | 96.3% | 95.4% | 0.9 pts | −0.1 | +1.1 | 26.1K | ||
| PA-15 House | RGlenn Thompson | Safe R | 96.0% | 95.8% | 96.2% | 0.4 pts | −0.1 | 0.0 | 40.2K | ||
| PA-17 House | DChris Deluzio | Safe D | 96.3% | 96.4% | 96.3% | 0.1 pts | +0.1 | +0.7 | 43.9K | ||
| PA-14 House | RGuy Reschenthaler | Safe R | 96.4% | 96.3% | 96.6% | 0.3 pts | +0.2 | +0.4 | 44.1K | ||
| PA-04 House | DMadeleine Dean | Safe D | 96.4% | 96.4% | 96.2% | 0.2 pts | −0.1 | −0.3 | 25.6K | ||
| PA-02 House | DBrendan Boyle | Safe D | 96.6% | 96.1% | 98.1% | 2.0 pts | 0.0 | −0.5 | 40.4K | ||
| PA-13 House | RJohn Joyce | Safe R | 97.1% | 97.3% | 97.0% | 1.1 pts | −0.5 | +0.4 | 19.9K | ||
| PA-06 House | DChrissy Houlahan | Safe D | 97.5% | 97.0% | 98.0% | 1.1 pts | −0.1 | +0.8 | 46.2K | ||
| PA-12 House | DSummer Lee | Safe D | 97.9% | 97.8% | 98.0% | 0.2 pts | −0.1 | +0.3 | 87.1K | ||
| PA-03 House | DChris Rabb | Safe D | 98.1% | 97.8% | 98.6% | 1.1 pts | +0.1 | 0.0 | 34.7K | ||
| PA-05 House | DMary Gay Scanlon | Safe D | 98.3% | 98.1% | 98.6% | 0.5 pts | −0.2 | +1.8 | 40.6K |
House seats Democrats win in Pennsylvania
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Kalshi61.4K contracts
How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
| Below 7 | 1.0% implied | |
| 7 | 2.5% | |
| 8 | 6.5% | |
| 9 | 19.0% | |
| 10 | 28.5% | |
| 11 | 40.5% | |
| 12 | 2.5% | |
| Above 12 | 3.5% |
Polymarket$24.1K traded
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
| <7 | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 5.6% | |
| 8 | 8.0% | |
| 9 | 20.5% | |
| 10 | 26.5% | |
| 11 | 40.5% | |
| 12+ | 2.6% |
Political landscape in Pennsylvania
Overview
Pennsylvania, formally a commonwealth, belongs to four regions: the Mid-Atlantic, the Northeast, Appalachia and the Great Lakes. Its neighbors are Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia, Ohio, New York and New Jersey, and it touches Ontario across Lake Erie. It ranks fifth in population, with more than 13 million residents at the 2020 census, and 33rd in land area. Philadelphia is the largest city and center of the biggest metro area, Pittsburgh anchors the second largest, and Harrisburg, the capital, sits between them. The Appalachians cross the middle of the state, and about 59 percent of it is forested. William Penn received the land through a royal grant in 1681, and the colony became known for religious tolerance. Philadelphia hosted the Continental Congresses during the Revolution, and on December 12, 1787, Pennsylvania became the second state to approve the Constitution. Philadelphia and Pittsburgh are now hubs for biopharmaceuticals and cancer immunotherapy research.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, Governor Josh Shapiro is a Democrat, and the state's US senators are John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dave McCormick, a Republican.
2026 elections
Pennsylvania's November 3, 2026 ballot features the governor's race and elections in all 17 US House districts.