House Path to 218 Simulator
218 seats are required for a majority in the 435-member US House of Representatives. Toggle competitive districts to test potential majority coalitions.
Call the House seats
83 seats rated Toss-up, Lean or Likely: the 71 Lean and Likely seats start with their leader and the toss-ups start undecided. Pick a winner in any of them and watch the tally and the seat chart move. Safe seats stay with their party.
How to read this chart
Each card is a race that is still open: rated Toss-up, Lean or Likely. Choose a winner on a card and the totals, the bar and the sentence above the cards change to match. Lean and Likely races start with the side the market favours, and toss-ups start undecided. Safe seats, and Senate seats not on the ballot this year, are already counted.
The percentage on each button is that side's chance of winning, from the TruthIndex™. Democrats need 51 Senate seats and Republicans need 50; in the House, either party needs 218. Copy the link to share your version of the map.
More in MethodologySafeCalledUndecided
Democrats win the House with 234 seats.
Toss-up Toss-up 12
Lean D Lean Democrat 7
Lean R Lean Republican 17
Likely D Likely Democrat 17
Likely R Likely Republican 30
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AK-AL House
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AR-02 House
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AZ-05 House
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AZ-08 House
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FL-04 House
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FL-11 House
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FL-12 House
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FL-16 House
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FL-21 House
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FL-26 House
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GA-12 House
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IN-05 House
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KS-02 House
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MD-01 House
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MI-01 House
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MN-08 House
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NC-05 House
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NC-06 House
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NC-07 House
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NE-01 House
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NY-01 House
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NY-02 House
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OK-05 House
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SC-02 House
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TN-05 House
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TN-09 House
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TX-09 House
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TX-32 House
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WA-05 House
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WI-08 House