Updated Oct 30, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
3 November 2026 · Simulator

House Path to 218 Simulator

218 seats are required for a majority in the 435-member US House of Representatives. Toggle competitive districts to test potential majority coalitions.

House control forecast Competitive House districts All House districts
Path to 218

Call the House seats

83 seats rated Toss-up, Lean or Likely: the 71 Lean and Likely seats start with their leader and the toss-ups start undecided. Pick a winner in any of them and watch the tally and the seat chart move. Safe seats stay with their party.

How to read this chart

Each card is a race that is still open: rated Toss-up, Lean or Likely. Choose a winner on a card and the totals, the bar and the sentence above the cards change to match. Lean and Likely races start with the side the market favours, and toss-ups start undecided. Safe seats, and Senate seats not on the ballot this year, are already counted.

The percentage on each button is that side's chance of winning, from the TruthIndex™. Democrats need 51 Senate seats and Republicans need 50; in the House, either party needs 218. Copy the link to share your version of the map.

More in Methodology
234Democrats
12Undecided
189Republicans

SafeCalledUndecided

Democrats win the House with 234 seats.

Toss-up Toss-up 12

  1. AL-02 House
  2. CO-05 House
  3. KY-06 House
  4. ME-02 House
  5. MI-04 House
  6. MT-01 House
  7. NC-03 House
  8. PA-01 House
  9. SC-01 House
  10. TX-23 House
  11. VA-05 House
  12. WI-01 House

Lean D Lean Democrat 7

  1. FL-14 House
  2. FL-22 House
  3. IA-02 House
  4. MI-10 House
  5. NY-17 House
  6. TX-35 House
  7. VA-01 House

Lean R Lean Republican 17

  1. AZ-02 House
  2. CO-03 House
  3. CO-04 House
  4. FL-07 House
  5. FL-09 House
  6. FL-13 House
  7. FL-27 House
  8. MN-01 House
  9. MO-02 House
  10. NC-09 House
  11. NC-13 House
  12. NC-14 House
  13. NJ-02 House
  14. NV-02 House
  15. NY-21 House
  16. OH-10 House
  17. OH-15 House

Likely D Likely Democrat 17

  1. AZ-01 House
  2. AZ-06 House
  3. CO-08 House
  4. FL-25 House
  5. IA-03 House
  6. MI-07 House
  7. NC-01 House
  8. NC-11 House
  9. OH-07 House
  10. OH-09 House
  11. PA-07 House
  12. PA-08 House
  13. PA-10 House
  14. TX-15 House
  15. TX-34 House
  16. WA-03 House
  17. WI-03 House

Likely R Likely Republican 30

  1. AK-AL House
  2. AR-02 House
  3. AZ-05 House
  4. AZ-08 House
  5. FL-04 House
  6. FL-11 House
  7. FL-12 House
  8. FL-16 House
  9. FL-21 House
  10. FL-26 House
  11. GA-12 House
  12. IN-05 House
  13. KS-02 House
  14. MD-01 House
  15. MI-01 House
  16. MN-08 House
  17. NC-05 House
  18. NC-06 House
  19. NC-07 House
  20. NE-01 House
  21. NY-01 House
  22. NY-02 House
  23. OK-05 House
  24. SC-02 House
  25. TN-05 House
  26. TN-09 House
  27. TX-09 House
  28. TX-32 House
  29. WA-05 House
  30. WI-08 House